Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2025-09-01 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Lineups not posted
The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
José Ramírez
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 1 |
19.5%Valinor | 20.1%market | -1.3pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 380 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Juan Soto
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 1 |
23.3%Valinor | 23.8%market | -1.4pp |
P
30.2
F
31.1
V
23.3
|
7.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 305 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Carlos Correa
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 12.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.2
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 705 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1 |
19.5%Valinor | 20.6%market | -1.8pp |
P
26.5
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
7.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 6 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.9pp |
P
18.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.4pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 06 | Lineup pending | TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
19.5%Valinor | 20.8%market | -2.0pp |
P
24.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
11.8%Valinor | 13.5%market | -2.2pp |
P
17.3
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
5.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 5 |
11.8%Valinor | 13.7%market | -2.4pp |
P
17.5
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
5.7pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 2 |
19.5%Valinor | 21.5%market | -2.7pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 10 | Lineup pending | ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 8 |
10.7%Valinor | 13.2%market | -2.9pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 635 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.1%market | -3.2pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Gary Sánchez
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
21.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
8.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Austin Riley
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.6%market | -4.7pp |
P
22.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Riley Greene
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 18.4%market | -5.6pp |
P
22.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.1pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2 |
11.9%Valinor | 23.3%market | -12.2pp |
P
17.7
F
15.7
V
11.9
|
5.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 315 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Angel Martínez
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 7 |
6.8%Valinor | 9.5%market | -3.0pp |
P
8.8
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.3pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 915 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6 |
7.8%Valinor | 10.4%market | -3.0pp |
P
9.8
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 825 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 1 |
7.8%Valinor | 10.4%market | -3.0pp |
P
9.9
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 825 avg 3 books |
| 19 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 3 |
6.8%Valinor | 9.8%market | -3.4pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 880 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 7 |
11.6%Valinor | 14.5%market | -3.4pp |
P
16.6
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
5.0pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 21 | Lineup pending | MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.1%market | -3.6pp |
P
12.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 635 avg 3 books |
| 22 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 7 |
6.8%Valinor | 10.1%market | -3.7pp |
P
8.3
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 850 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 2 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.3%market | -3.8pp |
P
12.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 625 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 6 |
6.8%Valinor | 10.3%market | -3.9pp |
P
9.2
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 835 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 1 |
8.3%Valinor | 12.2%market | -3.9pp |
P
10.8
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
2.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 720 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Kyle Teel
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2 |
10.2%Valinor | 13.6%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 610 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Corey Seager
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 2 |
19.5%Valinor | 22.7%market | -4.0pp |
P
25.6
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 325 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Dillon Dingler
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7 |
7.8%Valinor | 11.9%market | -4.1pp |
P
10.3
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 740 avg 3 books |
| 29 | Lineup pending | CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 6 |
8.4%Valinor | 12.0%market | -4.1pp |
P
11.6
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
3.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 700 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Josh Jung
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 7 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.6%market | -4.1pp |
P
12.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Andrew Vaughn
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.8%market | -4.2pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 600 avg 3 books |
| 32 | Lineup pending | CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.8%market | -4.2pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.6pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 600 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Evan Carter
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 6 |
8.6%Valinor | 12.9%market | -4.3pp |
P
11.9
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 675 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 6 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.9%market | -4.3pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 595 avg 3 books |
| 35 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 7 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.0%market | -4.5pp |
P
12.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Lenyn Sosa
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.0%market | -4.5pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Jake Bauers
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 7 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.6%market | -4.5pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.6%market | -4.5pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Jake Fraley
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6 |
8.6%Valinor | 12.7%market | -4.6pp |
P
11.7
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.1pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 660 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6 |
3.5%Valinor | 7.8%market | -4.6pp |
P
7.4
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
3.8pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books |
| 41 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.6%market | -4.7pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Austin Hays
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5 |
8.6%Valinor | 12.8%market | -4.7pp |
P
12.1
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.5pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 43 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | -4.7pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Pavin Smith
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 6 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.3%market | -4.8pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Colt Keith
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6 |
6.8%Valinor | 11.2%market | -4.9pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 755 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.7%market | -4.9pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Ian Happ
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.1%market | -4.9pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 17.3%market | -4.9pp |
P
18.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.1pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.5%market | -5.0pp |
P
13.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 50 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.5%market | -5.0pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.2%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 52 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.2%market | -5.1pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.1pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 53 | Lineup pending | CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 9 |
10.2%Valinor | 14.8%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Carson Kelly
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 7 |
8.6%Valinor | 13.2%market | -5.1pp |
P
12.0
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 630 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.6%market | -5.1pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.6%market | -5.1pp |
P
12.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Will Benson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 7 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.3%market | -5.2pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.1pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.3%market | -5.2pp |
P
15.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 3 |
7.8%Valinor | 12.5%market | -5.2pp |
P
10.4
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 2 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.8%market | -5.2pp |
P
13.0
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Danny Jansen
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 8 |
10.0%Valinor | 14.8%market | -5.3pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1 |
5.0%Valinor | 10.0%market | -5.4pp |
P
8.2
F
6.6
V
5.0
|
3.2pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 865 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Brett Baty
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 8 |
8.6%Valinor | 13.5%market | -5.4pp |
P
11.9
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 615 avg 3 books |
| 64 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.1%market | -5.4pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Luke Raley
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 8 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.1%market | -5.4pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Austin Wynns
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 7 |
6.8%Valinor | 12.3%market | -5.4pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 715 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Jackson Chourio
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.6%market | -5.4pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1 |
2.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | -5.5pp |
P
6.7
F
3.4
V
2.5
|
4.1pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Luis Robert Jr.
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 9 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.6%market | -5.5pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Dominic Canzone
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 7 |
10.7%Valinor | 15.7%market | -5.6pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.9pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2 |
10.0%Valinor | 15.1%market | -5.6pp |
P
13.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 1 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.3%market | -5.7pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 2 |
3.5%Valinor | 8.9%market | -5.8pp |
P
7.7
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 975 avg 3 books |
| 74 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.1%market | -5.8pp |
P
19.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 75 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6 |
5.0%Valinor | 10.3%market | -5.8pp |
P
8.2
F
6.6
V
5.0
|
3.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 830 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | -5.8pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 6 |
6.8%Valinor | 12.7%market | -5.8pp |
P
9.3
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 690 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.0%market | -5.8pp |
P
15.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.6pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 1 |
2.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -5.9pp |
P
6.0
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Gavin Lux
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 7 |
2.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -5.9pp |
P
6.3
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
4.2pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Davis Schneider
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.6%market | -5.9pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.1%market | -6.0pp |
P
15.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.0pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 5 |
8.4%Valinor | 13.9%market | -6.0pp |
P
11.5
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
3.1pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 595 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 15.7%market | -6.1pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Zack Gelof
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 9 |
7.8%Valinor | 13.9%market | -6.1pp |
P
10.3
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 620 avg 3 books |
| 86 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.4%market | -6.3pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.6%market | -6.3pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Colton Cowser
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8 |
9.9%Valinor | 15.7%market | -6.4pp |
P
12.3
F
13.2
V
9.9
|
3.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 3 |
11.8%Valinor | 17.6%market | -6.4pp |
P
17.8
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
6.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
David Fry
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.5%market | -6.4pp |
P
15.1
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.4pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.5%market | -6.4pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 92 | Lineup pending | CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3 |
19.5%Valinor | 25.0%market | -6.5pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.4pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 285 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | -6.6pp |
P
15.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.0pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Sean Murphy
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 7 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | -6.6pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 95 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3 |
10.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | -6.6pp |
P
14.2
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Jordan Westburg
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 16.1%market | -6.6pp |
P
12.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.8%market | -6.7pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Jahmai Jones
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.8%market | -6.7pp |
P
15.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 6 |
3.5%Valinor | 9.9%market | -6.8pp |
P
7.8
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.3pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 870 avg 3 books |
| 100 | Lineup pending | TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -7.0pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 101 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4 |
8.6%Valinor | 15.1%market | -7.0pp |
P
12.0
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 102 | Lineup pending | NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | -7.0pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 19.3%market | -7.1pp |
P
19.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.1pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
11.7%Valinor | 18.2%market | -7.2pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
5.2pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 105 | Lineup pending | DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.4%market | -7.3pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 106 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 4 |
11.8%Valinor | 18.6%market | -7.4pp |
P
17.9
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
6.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 107 |
Mark Vientos
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.7%market | -7.7pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 108 |
Michael Busch
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 19.9%market | -7.7pp |
P
19.5
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 109 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 20.6%market | -7.8pp |
P
22.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 110 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 17.9%market | -7.8pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 111 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 3 |
19.5%Valinor | 26.5%market | -7.9pp |
P
25.0
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 112 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1 |
0.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | -8.0pp |
P
3.1
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
3.1pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 113 |
Seiya Suzuki
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 18.1%market | -8.0pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 114 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 18.2%market | -8.2pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 115 |
Ryan Mountcastle
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 7 |
3.5%Valinor | 11.4%market | -8.3pp |
P
8.0
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.4pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 745 avg 3 books |
| 116 |
Matt Olson
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.2%market | -8.5pp |
P
21.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 117 |
Jake Burger
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 4 |
13.0%Valinor | 20.8%market | -8.6pp |
P
18.1
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.2pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 118 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.7pp |
P
19.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 119 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 4 |
10.2%Valinor | 18.4%market | -8.8pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 120 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 1 |
19.5%Valinor | 27.6%market | -9.0pp |
P
24.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.4pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 250 avg 3 books |
| 121 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 19.1%market | -9.1pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 122 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 19.1%market | -9.1pp |
P
16.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.7pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 123 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3 |
13.0%Valinor | 21.5%market | -9.3pp |
P
18.8
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.8pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 124 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 22.2%market | -9.5pp |
P
20.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.0pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 335 avg 3 books |
| 125 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 22.2%market | -10.0pp |
P
18.5
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 335 avg 3 books |
| 126 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 3 |
13.0%Valinor | 22.4%market | -10.3pp |
P
18.9
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.9pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 127 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 24.1%market | -11.5pp |
P
21.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
8.0pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 300 avg 3 books |
Data context
0 sample flagsStatus0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.