Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-06-03 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
96
Matched
339
Lineups
234
HR BOARD 2026-06-03 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1
 26.0%Fangorn 13.9%market +12.0pp
P 24.1
F 26.0
V 26.0
1.9pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
02
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 7.7%market +10.2pp
P 15.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.8pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
03
James Wood WSH
IN
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 16.4%market +9.5pp
P 23.9
F 26.0
V 26.0
2.0pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
04
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 9.1%market +8.8pp
P 17.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
05
Keibert Ruiz WSH
IN
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 9.8%market +7.4pp
P 15.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.7pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
06
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 11.0%market +6.9pp
P 16.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.1pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
07
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +6.5pp
P 12.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.5pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
08
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 11.0%market +6.2pp
P 18.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.9pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
09
Trevor Larnach MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 7
 17.9%Fangorn 11.9%market +6.0pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.5pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 705 avg 3 books
10
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 12.3%market +5.6pp
P 15.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.0pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
11
Luis García Jr. WSH
IN
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 12.4%market +5.5pp
P 19.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.0pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
12
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 11.7%market +5.5pp
P 18.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.0pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
13
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 10.0%market +5.5pp
P 14.8
F 15.5
V 15.5
0.7pp 0.960xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
14
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 11.8%market +5.4pp
P 20.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.6pp 1.079xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
15
Miguel Andujar SD
IN
SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 9.1%market +5.1pp
P 13.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.1pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 965 avg 3 books
16
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.2pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
17
Ryan O'Hearn PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 17.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
18
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 13.1%market +4.8pp
P 22.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.6pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
19
Zach McKinstry DET
Lineup pending
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 8.7%market +4.7pp
P 11.6
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.8pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
20
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 6
 15.7%Fangorn 11.3%market +4.4pp
P 14.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.9pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
21
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.0%market +3.9pp
P 22.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.4pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
22
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 13.6%market +3.6pp
P 18.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.1pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
23
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 10.7%market +3.5pp
P 15.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.6pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
24
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 13.8%market +3.4pp
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
25
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.8%market +3.1pp
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.4pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
26
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 14.1%market +3.1pp
P 20.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.2pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
27
Lawrence Butler ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 20.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
28
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 15.0%market +2.9pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.9pp 1.025xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
29
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 10.5%market +2.9pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.2pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
30
Wyatt Langford TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 14.4%market +2.8pp
P 19.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.8pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
31
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 14.8%market +2.4pp
P 19.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.1pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
32
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 11.1%market +2.3pp
P 23.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
10.1pp 1.068xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
33
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 15.1%market +2.1pp
P 17.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
34
Spencer Steer CIN
IN
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 13.7%market +2.0pp
P 17.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.8pp 1.025xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
35
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.9pp
P 14.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.2pp 1.025xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
36
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 15.6%market +1.6pp
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
37
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 16.9%market +1.1pp
P 21.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.8pp 1.052xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
38
Freddie Freeman LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 21.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
4.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
39
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
40
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +0.8pp
P 16.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.3pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
41
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +0.8pp
P 17.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.8pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
42
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 15.2%market +0.6pp
P 19.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.1pp 1.079xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
43
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 19.6%market -1.7pp
P 22.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.9pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
44
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1
 9.1%Fangorn 11.0%market -1.9pp
P 16.2
F 9.1
V 9.1
7.1pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 810 avg 3 books
45
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 13.8%market -2.4pp
P 14.2
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.8pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
46
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 6
 10.3%Fangorn 13.4%market -3.1pp
P 15.4
F 10.3
V 10.3
5.1pp 1.025xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
47
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3
 11.1%Fangorn 15.3%market -4.2pp
P 16.6
F 11.1
V 11.1
5.5pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
48
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.4pp
P 10.2
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
49
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 11.2%market +3.0pp
P 13.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
50
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 15.5%market +2.4pp
P 17.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.6pp 1.052xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
51
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 15.5%market +2.4pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.8pp 1.079xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
52
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.8pp
P 18.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
53
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.7pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.0pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
54
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 12.5%market +1.7pp
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.0pp 0.960xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
55
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 16.3%market +1.6pp
P 19.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.9pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
56
Christian Yelich MIL
IN
MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.4%market +1.5pp
P 20.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.3pp 0.960xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
57
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1
 9.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.4pp
P 9.0
F 9.1
V 9.1
0.1pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
58
Jake Mangum PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 1
 9.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.4pp
P 9.0
F 9.1
V 9.1
0.0pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
59
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 17.0%market +0.9pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.5pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
60
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 16.1%market -0.4pp
P 18.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
2.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
61
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -0.5pp
P 19.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
62
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5
 15.5%Fangorn 16.0%market -0.5pp
P 14.5
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.0pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
63
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 14.8%market -0.6pp
P 12.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.3pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
64
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 18.5%market -0.6pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
65
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -0.8pp
P 19.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.7pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
66
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.2pp
P 17.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
2.1pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
67
Mike Trout LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -1.3pp
P 19.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.1pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
68
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -1.3pp
P 19.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.4pp 1.052xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
69
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 16.0%market -1.8pp
P 13.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.6pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
70
Adolis García PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 18.0%market -2.3pp
P 17.3
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.6pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
71
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 19.6%market -2.4pp
P 16.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.3pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
72
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 19.6%market -2.4pp
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
73
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 20.0%market -2.8pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
74
Kerry Carpenter DET
IN
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 20.2%market -3.0pp
P 15.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.8pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
75
Byron Buxton MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 21.1%market -3.1pp
P 19.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
76
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -3.2pp
P 19.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.3pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
77
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 15.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
78
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 19.1%market -3.3pp
P 19.3
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
79
Daulton Varsho TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 16.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
80
Jorge Soler LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 17.2%market -3.9pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.7pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
81
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.0pp
P 16.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.8pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
82
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 6
 13.6%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.7pp
P 15.3
F 13.6
V 13.6
1.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
83
Juan Soto NYM
IN
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 24.1%market -6.2pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
84
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 15.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
85
Shea Langeliers ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 18.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
86
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 18.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.0pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
87
Brent Rooker ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 21.5%market -7.3pp
P 19.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
88
Marcell Ozuna PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 2
 13.6%Fangorn 21.1%market -7.5pp
P 16.1
F 13.6
V 13.6
2.6pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
89
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 21.7%market -7.5pp
P 16.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.7pp 1.025xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
90
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4
 11.4%Fangorn 19.2%market -7.8pp
P 11.9
F 11.4
V 11.4
0.5pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
91
Corey Seager TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 22.5%market -8.3pp
P 16.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.3pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
92
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 23.3%market -9.0pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.7pp 1.159xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
93
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 27.0%market -9.1pp
P 20.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.0pp 1.060xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
94
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 29.8%market -11.9pp
P 19.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
95
Aaron Judge NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 29.8%market -12.6pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 1.052xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
96
Nick Kurtz ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 27.0%market -13.7pp
P 19.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
6.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status1569roster/transaction rows
Lineups234confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.