Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-06-03 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | IN | CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.0%market | +8.7pp |
P
21.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.2pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
26.0%Valinor | 13.9%market | +8.6pp |
P
24.1
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
1.9pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 11.1%market | +8.5pp |
P
23.4
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
10.1pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.8%market | +8.3pp |
P
20.8
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.6pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 11.0%market | +8.0pp |
P
16.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.1pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.4%market | +7.8pp |
P
19.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.0pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 10.7%market | +7.7pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.6pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 9.8%market | +7.6pp |
P
15.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.7pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +6.8pp |
P
20.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.2pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.8%market | +6.4pp |
P
20.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.4pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 7 |
17.9%Valinor | 11.9%market | +6.0pp |
P
18.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.5pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +5.3pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.3pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.0%market | +5.2pp |
P
17.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.3%market | +5.1pp |
P
15.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.0pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +5.0pp |
P
17.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.8pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 9.1%market | +4.9pp |
P
17.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 6 |
15.7%Valinor | 11.3%market | +4.9pp |
P
14.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.9pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 755 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.7%market | +4.8pp |
P
18.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.0pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.0%market | +4.6pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.9pp | 1.025xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.5pp |
P
12.7
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.5pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2 |
26.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | +4.5pp |
P
23.9
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
2.0pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.8%market | +4.4pp |
P
19.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.1pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 13.6%market | +4.3pp |
P
18.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.1pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
9.1%Valinor | 10.5%market | +4.3pp |
P
16.2
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
7.1pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6 |
13.4%Valinor | 10.5%market | +4.2pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.2pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +4.0pp |
P
21.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 13.2%market | +4.0pp |
P
14.2
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
2.8pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 630 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.9pp |
P
15.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.8pp | 1.068xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 6 |
10.3%Valinor | 12.8%market | +3.7pp |
P
15.4
F
10.3
V
10.3
|
5.1pp | 1.025xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 13.8%market | +3.6pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.0pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 13.7%market | +3.5pp |
P
17.6
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.8pp | 1.025xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.1%market | +3.5pp |
P
17.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.1pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.9%market | +3.4pp |
P
20.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.3pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
22.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.9pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 415 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 12.3%market | +3.3pp |
P
14.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.2pp | 1.025xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | +3.2pp |
P
18.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.9pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.1%market | +3.2pp |
P
22.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.6pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 38 | IN | BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 15.2%market | +3.1pp |
P
19.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
4.1pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | +3.1pp |
P
19.0
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.8pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.9%market | +3.0pp |
P
21.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.8pp | 1.052xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.0%market | +2.9pp |
P
22.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.4pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +2.9pp |
P
18.8
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.6pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 43 | IN | SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 9.1%market | +2.8pp |
P
13.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.1pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 965 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
11.6
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 45 | IN | SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3 |
11.1%Valinor | 14.6%market | +2.8pp |
P
16.6
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
5.5pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.6%market | +2.7pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.0pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 15.4%market | +2.6pp |
P
18.7
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1 |
15.5%Valinor | 10.0%market | +2.5pp |
P
14.8
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
0.7pp | 0.960xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Adolis García
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 17.0%market | +2.4pp |
P
17.3
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.6pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 465 avg 3 books |
| 50 | IN | SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.0%market | +2.3pp |
P
20.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.5pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 465 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
9.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.1pp |
P
9.0
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
0.1pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 | IN | TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.2%market | +2.1pp |
P
18.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.1pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.5%market | +2.1pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.8pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | +2.0pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 55 | IN | MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 12.5%market | +2.0pp |
P
14.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.0pp | 0.960xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.2%market | +1.9pp |
P
19.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.7pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 11.2%market | +1.5pp |
P
13.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.9pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
19.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.3%market | +1.5pp |
P
19.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.9pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 490 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.2%market | +1.3pp |
P
17.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.0pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 1 |
11.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.3pp |
P
10.2
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
0.9pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +1.2pp |
P
12.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.3pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.4%market | +0.9pp |
P
20.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.3pp | 0.960xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 18.1%market | +0.9pp |
P
19.3
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 430 avg 3 books |
| 65 | IN | SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 18.7%market | +0.7pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.0pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 415 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | +0.5pp |
P
16.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.5%market | +0.5pp |
P
17.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.6pp | 1.052xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 16.4%market | +0.3pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.7pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 18.9%market | +0.2pp |
P
19.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 410 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5 |
15.5%Valinor | 15.2%market | +0.2pp |
P
14.5
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.0pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.1%market | -0.2pp |
P
19.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.5pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | -0.4pp |
P
13.7
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.6pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 73 | IN | NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.6%market | -0.4pp |
P
19.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.4pp | 1.052xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 74 | IN | DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 16.5%market | -0.5pp |
P
17.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.1pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 1 |
9.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.7pp |
P
9.0
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
0.0pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -1.5pp |
P
18.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.0pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
19.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.6pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.7%market | -1.6pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.8pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.9pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 360 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.1pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 20.4%market | -1.9pp |
P
19.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.3pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 82 | IN | CWS vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 23.3%market | -2.0pp |
P
17.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.7pp | 1.159xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 21.1%market | -2.3pp |
P
16.1
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
2.6pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Max Muncy
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 6 |
13.6%Valinor | 19.2%market | -2.4pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
1.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
18.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.0pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 20.2%market | -2.8pp |
P
15.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.8pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.7%market | -2.9pp |
P
16.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.7pp | 1.025xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 19.6%market | -3.2pp |
P
16.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.3pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.8%market | -3.2pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Corey Seager
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 22.5%market | -3.6pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.3pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4 |
11.4%Valinor | 19.2%market | -3.6pp |
P
11.9
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
0.5pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 24.1%market | -4.0pp |
P
19.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.5pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 27.0%market | -5.1pp |
P
20.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.0pp | 1.060xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 27.0%market | -7.3pp |
P
19.4
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
6.0pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 29.8%market | -9.4pp |
P
19.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 29.8%market | -9.8pp |
P
18.8
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.6pp | 1.052xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1569roster/transaction rows
Lineups234confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.