Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-18 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +6.5pp |
P
12.8
F
14.2
V
9.7
|
4.5pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 6 |
14.4%Fangorn | 9.1%market | +5.3pp |
P
15.3
F
14.4
V
10.2
|
5.1pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 03 | IN | AZ vs STLDustin May · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 9.3%market | +4.9pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
9.6
|
5.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +4.4pp |
P
13.3
F
14.2
V
10.4
|
3.8pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 10.0%market | +4.2pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
10.3
|
4.6pp | 0.914xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
16.9%Fangorn | 13.9%market | +2.9pp |
P
19.4
F
16.9
V
13.1
|
6.3pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 11.6%market | +2.8pp |
P
16.7
F
14.4
V
12.3
|
4.4pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 735 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5 |
13.8%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +2.8pp |
P
14.1
F
13.8
V
16.4
|
2.6pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 775 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 12.1%market | +2.8pp |
P
18.2
F
14.9
V
11.9
|
6.4pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 695 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs WSHZack Littell · slot 6 |
11.1%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +2.4pp |
P
11.7
F
11.1
V
10.8
|
0.8pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1005 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
13.2%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +2.1pp |
P
18.8
F
13.2
V
11.1
|
7.7pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 12.4%market | +2.0pp |
P
16.5
F
14.4
V
12.5
|
4.0pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +1.9pp |
P
18.2
F
14.4
V
12.8
|
5.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 12.3%market | +1.9pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
12.4
|
2.2pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
16.9%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +1.8pp |
P
20.5
F
16.9
V
12.8
|
7.7pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +1.7pp |
P
17.9
F
14.4
V
12.2
|
5.7pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +1.6pp |
P
14.6
F
13.4
V
14.5
|
1.2pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 18 | IN | CWS vs TORShane Bieber · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +1.4pp |
P
16.1
F
14.4
V
10.8
|
5.3pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 19 | IN | MIL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
13.8%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +1.3pp |
P
14.3
F
13.8
V
12.8
|
1.5pp | 0.914xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3 |
14.4%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +1.1pp |
P
16.3
F
14.4
V
13.1
|
3.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Ryan Jeffers
MIN
IN
Triple
|
MIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 6 |
13.4%Fangorn | 12.4%market | +1.0pp |
P
11.8
F
13.4
V
11.0
|
2.4pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs WSHZack Littell · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.0%market | +0.8pp |
P
19.5
F
14.9
V
14.6
|
4.8pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 5 |
13.3%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +0.8pp |
P
12.3
F
13.3
V
18.1
|
5.7pp | 1.097xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 6 |
13.8%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +0.7pp |
P
14.0
F
13.8
V
11.4
|
2.6pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 13.7%market | +0.7pp |
P
18.1
F
14.4
V
12.4
|
5.6pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 7 |
13.8%Fangorn | 13.4%market | +0.5pp |
P
14.6
F
13.8
V
11.6
|
3.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Andy Pages
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 7 |
13.4%Fangorn | 13.9%market | -0.4pp |
P
16.3
F
13.4
V
10.7
|
5.6pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 620 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
James Wood
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2 |
16.9%Fangorn | 17.4%market | -0.5pp |
P
19.2
F
16.9
V
15.1
|
4.1pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 475 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 6 |
12.8%Fangorn | 13.4%market | -0.6pp |
P
15.4
F
12.8
V
10.6
|
4.8pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 645 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.1%market | -0.6pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
16.8
|
3.4pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 31 | IN | KC vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 3 |
16.9%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -0.8pp |
P
19.9
F
16.9
V
19.3
|
3.1pp | 1.097xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 32 | Lineup pending | AZ vs STLDustin May · slot 5 |
13.2%Fangorn | 14.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
12.5
F
13.2
V
11.6
|
1.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 605 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5 |
13.2%Fangorn | 14.3%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.9
F
13.2
V
15.0
|
1.8pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 600 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.4%market | -1.2pp |
P
17.7
F
14.2
V
19.2
|
5.0pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 550 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs WSHZack Littell · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -1.2pp |
P
17.7
F
14.4
V
15.1
|
3.3pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
13.8%Fangorn | 15.5%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.8
F
13.8
V
13.3
|
2.4pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 545 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -2.0pp |
P
18.2
F
14.4
V
14.4
|
3.8pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 3 |
14.4%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -2.0pp |
P
18.1
F
14.4
V
15.6
|
3.7pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
14.4%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
18.4
F
14.4
V
14.8
|
4.0pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
Triple
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
15.2
|
1.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 495 avg 3 books |
| 41 | IN | KC vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
18.0
F
14.4
V
19.3
|
4.9pp | 1.097xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
14.4%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
19.1
F
14.4
V
14.8
|
4.7pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -3.6pp |
P
18.3
F
14.4
V
15.9
|
3.9pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 44 | IN | KC vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -3.6pp |
P
17.3
F
14.4
V
18.9
|
4.6pp | 1.097xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -4.1pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
17.0
|
3.6pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 1 |
13.8%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -4.5pp |
P
17.3
F
13.8
V
16.3
|
3.5pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 47 | Lineup pending | LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -4.8pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
14.6
|
2.3pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1 |
12.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +4.6pp |
P
7.2
F
12.3
V
12.9
|
5.7pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
12.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +4.6pp |
P
7.5
F
12.3
V
12.0
|
4.8pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TORShane Bieber · slot 1 |
11.5%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
6.9
F
11.5
V
9.4
|
4.5pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEABryan Woo · slot 7 |
11.5%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
7.7
F
11.5
V
9.0
|
3.7pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6 |
13.2%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +3.4pp |
P
8.9
F
13.2
V
9.4
|
4.2pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 890 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEABryan Woo · slot 5 |
13.8%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +0.7pp |
P
14.7
F
13.8
V
13.1
|
1.6pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 1 |
11.5%Fangorn | 10.9%market | +0.5pp |
P
11.4
F
11.5
V
11.9
|
0.5pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 785 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
Triple
|
SEA vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
13.2
|
0.7pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2 |
16.0%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -1.2pp |
P
18.1
F
16.0
V
13.9
|
4.2pp | 0.914xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -1.8pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
13.8
|
0.4pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Ben Rice
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6 |
14.4%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -1.9pp |
P
15.7
F
14.4
V
12.6
|
3.1pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.4%market | -1.9pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
12.3
|
1.7pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 550 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.6
F
14.4
V
15.0
|
1.2pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 61 | IN | TOR vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.4
F
14.4
V
15.0
|
1.0pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5 |
13.8%Fangorn | 16.5%market | -2.8pp |
P
12.4
F
13.8
V
13.1
|
1.4pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 505 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
16.3
F
14.4
V
13.4
|
2.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5 |
13.3%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -3.4pp |
P
11.5
F
13.3
V
13.3
|
1.7pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
15.0
|
2.3pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
15.0
|
0.8pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -3.5pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
0.8pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 68 | IN | AZ vs STLDustin May · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -4.0pp |
P
17.5
F
14.4
V
12.6
|
4.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -4.1pp |
P
14.3
F
13.4
V
14.7
|
1.2pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -4.1pp |
P
16.7
F
14.2
V
14.3
|
2.5pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -4.3pp |
P
14.5
F
13.4
V
14.7
|
1.3pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
14.4%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -4.3pp |
P
16.7
F
14.4
V
14.5
|
2.3pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1 |
13.4%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -4.6pp |
P
14.2
F
13.4
V
13.9
|
0.8pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.7pp |
P
16.8
F
14.2
V
16.0
|
2.6pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.7pp |
P
17.2
F
14.2
V
20.4
|
6.2pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 76 | Lineup pending | NYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5 |
14.4%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -4.8pp |
P
17.3
F
14.4
V
16.0
|
2.9pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3 |
13.2%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -4.9pp |
P
12.2
F
13.2
V
14.3
|
2.1pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -5.2pp |
P
17.5
F
14.2
V
15.3
|
3.3pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 19.8%market | -5.4pp |
P
15.8
F
14.4
V
13.4
|
2.4pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 405 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 20.0%market | -5.8pp |
P
17.0
F
14.2
V
17.1
|
2.9pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 400 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2 |
13.8%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -6.4pp |
P
14.4
F
13.8
V
15.2
|
1.4pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -6.6pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
13.4
|
1.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs STLDustin May · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -6.8pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
13.2
|
2.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3 |
13.8%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -7.1pp |
P
16.2
F
13.8
V
15.4
|
2.5pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2 |
13.8%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -7.1pp |
P
16.1
F
13.8
V
16.9
|
3.1pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 86 | IN | SF vs SEABryan Woo · slot 2 |
13.4%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -7.4pp |
P
14.9
F
13.4
V
15.1
|
1.7pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -7.5pp |
P
17.2
F
14.2
V
13.9
|
3.3pp | 1.184xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
Lineup pending
Triple
|
MIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3 |
14.4%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -7.6pp |
P
14.7
F
14.4
V
13.6
|
1.1pp | 0.939xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 89 | Lineup pending Triple | NYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4 |
14.4%Fangorn | 22.2%market | -7.8pp |
P
14.7
F
14.4
V
14.3
|
0.4pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 350 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -8.9pp |
P
16.0
F
14.4
V
15.1
|
1.6pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 2 |
13.8%Fangorn | 23.0%market | -9.2pp |
P
17.3
F
13.8
V
16.6
|
3.5pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 92 | IN | CWS vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
13.2%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -10.0pp |
P
13.4
F
13.2
V
12.5
|
0.9pp | 1.034xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 26.0%market | -11.8pp |
P
15.9
F
14.2
V
20.3
|
6.1pp | 1.079xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 285 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3 |
12.7%Fangorn | 26.3%market | -13.6pp |
P
13.7
F
12.7
V
14.7
|
2.0pp | 0.881xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 280 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1 |
13.3%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -13.7pp |
P
17.2
F
13.3
V
16.0
|
3.9pp | 1.046xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
14.4%Fangorn | 29.0%market | -14.6pp |
P
16.6
F
14.4
V
17.3
|
2.9pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 245 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2 |
14.4%Fangorn | 29.8%market | -15.5pp |
P
17.0
F
14.4
V
19.0
|
4.6pp | 1.094xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1771roster/transaction rows
Lineups234confirmed starters
Triple6cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.