Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-09-08 · saved artifact ROWS 21 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-11

Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Jacob MisiorowskiMIL	MIL vs CHCneutral	P 68.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 3 of 4	31.4%Under prob · Palantir	18.9%no-vig	+9.26%	6.11count	68.6%ladder	54.4%ladder	40.7%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -4000 avg 1 books
02	Corbin BurnesAZ	AZ vs KCneutral	P 71.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 2	71.6%Over prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+9.41%	5.15count	55.9%ladder	40.6%ladder	27.6%ladder	19.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 138 avg 1 books
03	Sean BurkeCWS	CWS vs PITneutral	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	53.3%no-vig	+9.49%	4.20count	40.5%ladder	26.0%ladder	15.5%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 102 avg 1 books
04	Cam SchlittlerNYY	NYY vs COLhitter-friendly	P 31.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 7.5 4 of 4	68.3%Under prob · Palantir	46.7%no-vig	+6.15%	6.34count	71.2%ladder	57.5%ladder	43.9%ladder	26.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
05	Freddy PeraltaTB	TB vs ATLneutral	P 63.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	63.8%Over prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+0.99%	5.72count	63.8%ladder	49.0%ladder	35.4%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
06	Nick LodoloCIN	CIN vs LADneutral	P 70.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 2	70.5%Over prob · Palantir	57.2%no-vig	+10.78%	5.06count	54.5%ladder	39.2%ladder	26.3%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -154 avg 1 books
07	Cal QuantrillTEX	TEX vs SEApitcher-friendly	P 37.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	62.6%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+12.52%	3.11count	21.6%ladder	11.3%ladder	5.4%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
08	Tarik SkubalLAD	LAD vs CINneutral	P 40.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 7.5	59.3%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+8.05%	7.16count	78.9%ladder	67.1%ladder	54.4%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
09	Landen RouppSF	SF vs STLpitcher-friendly	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	67.2%Under prob · Palantir	59.4%no-vig	+2.09%	4.64count	47.9%ladder	32.8%ladder	20.8%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 132 avg 1 books
10	Hayden WesneskiHOU	HOU vs PHIneutral	P 59.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	59.9%Over prob · Palantir	53.3%no-vig	+7.43%	4.32count	42.6%ladder	27.9%ladder	16.9%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
11	Brandon YoungBAL	BAL vs CLEneutral	P 48.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 3	51.5%Under prob · Palantir	45.7%no-vig	+1.48%	3.67count	31.2%ladder	18.4%ladder	9.9%ladder	20.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -136 avg 1 books
12	Michael WachaKC	KC vs AZneutral	P 47.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	47.1%Over prob · Palantir	41.4%no-vig	+2.91%	4.59count	47.1%ladder	32.0%ladder	20.2%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 128 avg 1 books
13	Sandy AlcantaraMIA	MIA vs NYMneutral	P 55.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	55.4%Over prob · Palantir	50.0%no-vig	+9.87%	5.12count	55.4%ladder	40.1%ladder	27.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -113 avg 1 books
14	David PetersonCHC	CHC vs MILneutral	P 46.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	46.9%Over prob · Palantir	42.5%no-vig	+3.07%	4.58count	46.9%ladder	31.8%ladder	20.1%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 122 avg 1 books
15	Sean ManaeaNYM	NYM vs MIAneutral	P 38.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	61.1%Under prob · Palantir	57.2%no-vig	+11.09%	5.04count	54.2%ladder	38.9%ladder	26.1%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
16	Tanner BibeeCLE	CLE vs BALneutral	P 39.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	60.5%Under prob · Palantir	58.0%no-vig	+10.48%	5.08count	54.8%ladder	39.5%ladder	26.6%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 124 avg 1 books
17	Aj Smith-ShawverATL	ATL vs TBneutral	P 57.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	57.4%Over prob · Palantir	55.1%no-vig	+10.01%	4.17count	40.0%ladder	25.6%ladder	15.2%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -140 avg 1 books
18	Bryce MillerSEA	SEA vs TEXpitcher-friendly	P 45.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	55.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+2.25%	4.63count	47.8%ladder	32.6%ladder	20.7%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
19	José SorianoTOR	TOR vs ATHneutral	P 47.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5	47.0%Over prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+0.57%	5.83count	65.2%ladder	50.6%ladder	36.9%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
20	Casey MizeSD	SD vs WSHneutral	P 46.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	53.7%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+0.47%	4.74count	49.5%ladder	34.3%ladder	22.1%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
21	Dean KremerMIN	MIN vs DETneutral	P 48.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	51.9%Under prob · Palantir	51.9%no-vig	+1.93%	4.65count	48.1%ladder	32.9%ladder	21.0%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -104 avg 1 books