Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-04-30 · saved artifact ROWS 71 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 1.5 · 2.5 · 3.5

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs PITPaul Skenes	P 36.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.4%Under prob · Palantir	43.4%no-vig	-0.82%	1.2843count	0.3659prob	0.7652proj	0.964context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
02	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs PHICristopher Sánchez	P 23.2 F -- EXPERIMENTAL V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	74.9%no-vig	+5.01%	1.6476count	0.4645prob	1.2255proj	0.967context	FanDuel 315 avg 1 books
03	Jacob WilsonATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	74.2%no-vig	+4.10%	1.6549count	0.459prob	1.079proj	0.937context	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
04	Zack GelofATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 44.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	55.5%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	-0.48%	1.538count	0.4452prob	0.8039proj	0.937context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
05	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs COLMichael Lorenzen	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.7%no-vig	+4.85%	1.6039count	0.4601prob	0.8948proj	1.009context	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
06	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	74.2%no-vig	+3.99%	1.6482count	0.4754prob	0.9408proj	0.978context	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
07	Shea LangeliersATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 62.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	37.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.6%no-vig	-0.40%	2.4012count	0.6259prob	1.1147proj	0.937context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
08	Andrés GiménezTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	76.6%Under prob · Palantir	74.7%no-vig	+4.75%	1.6072count	0.4537prob	0.9825proj	1.024context	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
09	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 45.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	54.9%Under prob · Palantir	56.2%no-vig	-0.31%	2.6732count	0.6691prob	1.4405proj	1.024context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
10	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 68.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	31.8%Under prob · Palantir	23.7%no-vig	-0.41%	2.7866count	0.6825prob	1.3241proj	1.06context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
11	Tyler FitzgeraldSF	SF vs PHICristopher Sánchez	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	74.2%no-vig	+4.12%	1.6316count	0.4616prob	0.906proj	0.967context	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
12	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.11%	1.7008count	0.4995prob	0.8517proj	0.926context	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 59.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.1%Under prob · Palantir	28.2%no-vig	-0.43%	2.3209count	0.5986prob	1.153proj	0.926context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
14	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs AZMichael Soroka	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.9%no-vig	+3.94%	1.6294count	0.4587prob	0.8093proj	1.057context	FanDuel 295 avg 1 books
15	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.86%	1.6959count	0.4745prob	0.9863proj	0.978context	FanDuel 750 avg 1 books
16	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 73.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	26.9%Under prob · Palantir	18.5%no-vig	-0.35%	2.9631count	0.7314prob	1.5269proj	0.961context	FanDuel -155 avg 1 books
17	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs SFLogan Webb	P 45.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	54.9%Under prob · Palantir	56.2%no-vig	-0.33%	2.8182count	0.6533prob	1.1526proj	1.085context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
18	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.83%	1.7008count	0.4866prob	0.9156proj	0.998context	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
19	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.6%no-vig	-0.45%	2.121count	0.5756prob	1.0316proj	0.978context	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
20	Eugenio SuárezCIN	CIN vs COLMichael Lorenzen	P 40.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	59.6%Under prob · Palantir	60.7%no-vig	-0.40%	2.523count	0.647prob	1.1503proj	1.009context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
21	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.39%	1.7228count	0.4726prob	1.0672proj	0.998context	FanDuel 900 avg 1 books
22	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 62.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	38.0%Under prob · Palantir	24.3%no-vig	-0.46%	2.3741count	0.62prob	1.2921proj	1.06context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
23	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.30%	1.6884count	0.4831prob	1.179proj	0.926context	FanDuel 285 avg 1 books
24	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.34%	1.7701count	0.4986prob	0.9892proj	0.926context	FanDuel 900 avg 1 books
25	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 58.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.8%Under prob · Palantir	28.2%no-vig	-0.51%	2.1931count	0.5821prob	1.1555proj	0.998context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
26	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs WSHMiles Mikolas	P 42.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	57.8%Under prob · Palantir	58.8%no-vig	-0.36%	2.4788count	0.6504prob	1.4332proj	1.037context	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
27	Maikel GarciaKC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.15%	1.7713count	0.5146prob	1.0649proj	0.961context	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
28	Matt WallnerMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 63.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	36.6%Under prob · Palantir	33.8%no-vig	-0.28%	2.3262count	0.634prob	1.0021proj	0.998context	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
29	Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 47.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	52.6%Under prob · Palantir	53.8%no-vig	-0.22%	2.8288count	0.6787prob	1.4648proj	1.06context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
30	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 63.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	37.0%Under prob · Palantir	24.3%no-vig	-0.51%	2.4771count	0.6299prob	1.2913proj	1.024context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
31	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs WSHMiles Mikolas	P 46.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	53.7%Under prob · Palantir	54.9%no-vig	-0.23%	2.7915count	0.6713prob	1.3911proj	1.037context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
32	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 65.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.3%Under prob · Palantir	24.3%no-vig	-0.52%	2.5739count	0.6574prob	1.2779proj	0.978context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
33	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.79%	1.7015count	0.4711prob	0.987proj	0.998context	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
34	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 61.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	39.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.1%no-vig	-0.40%	2.2698count	0.61prob	1.0441proj	1.024context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
35	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs COLMichael Lorenzen	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.2%no-vig	+2.68%	1.7065count	0.4854prob	0.9297proj	1.009context	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
36	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 62.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	37.7%Under prob · Palantir	25.7%no-vig	-0.43%	2.4167count	0.6226prob	1.2347proj	0.961context	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
37	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	54.9%no-vig	-0.50%	1.564count	0.4601prob	0.9015proj	0.961context	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
38	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 65.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.1%Under prob · Palantir	25.7%no-vig	-0.44%	2.5898count	0.6592prob	1.2241proj	0.978context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
39	Austin WynnsATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.50%	1.7221count	0.5023prob	0.9426proj	0.937context	FanDuel 275 avg 1 books
40	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 59.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.2%Under prob · Palantir	30.1%no-vig	-0.35%	2.2828count	0.5984prob	1.0958proj	0.926context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
41	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs CINAndrew Abbott	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.35%	1.7149count	0.4869prob	0.9983proj	0.925context	FanDuel 275 avg 1 books
42	Nick KurtzATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 68.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	31.9%Under prob · Palantir	26.4%no-vig	-0.39%	2.7027count	0.6812prob	1.2027proj	0.937context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
43	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs WSHMiles Mikolas	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.7%no-vig	+2.12%	1.7233count	0.4796prob	0.8542proj	1.037context	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
44	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 65.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.1%Under prob · Palantir	22.6%no-vig	-0.45%	2.645count	0.6589prob	1.3494proj	1.06context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
45	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs WSHMiles Mikolas	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.76%	1.7436count	0.4668prob	0.9549proj	1.037context	FanDuel 265 avg 1 books
46	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.1%no-vig	-0.31%	2.1814count	0.5922prob	1.1799proj	0.926context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
47	Lawrence ButlerATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	65.9%no-vig	-1.11%	1.1126count	0.3398prob	0.5793proj	0.937context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
48	Brent RookerATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 68.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	31.6%Under prob · Palantir	23.5%no-vig	-0.31%	2.7573count	0.6835prob	1.3154proj	0.937context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
49	Iván HerreraSTL	STL vs PITPaul Skenes	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.68%	1.7548count	0.4781prob	1.0401proj	0.964context	FanDuel 265 avg 1 books
50	Victor Scott IISTL	STL vs PITPaul Skenes	P 36.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.9%no-vig	-0.63%	1.2913count	0.3651prob	0.8368proj	0.964context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
51	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs AZMichael Soroka	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.34%	1.7683count	0.4963prob	1.059proj	1.057context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
52	Colt KeithDET	DET vs ATLBryce Elder	P 53.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	46.2%Under prob · Palantir	29.1%no-vig	-0.55%	1.9428count	0.5385prob	1.1155proj	0.978context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
53	Jonathan IndiaKC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.8%no-vig	+0.82%	1.7893count	0.5055prob	1.0226proj	0.961context	FanDuel 255 avg 1 books
54	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 55.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	44.5%Under prob · Palantir	29.1%no-vig	-0.56%	2.0219count	0.5548prob	1.1093proj	1.06context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
55	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs SFLogan Webb	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	72.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.2%no-vig	+0.22%	1.8189count	0.5048prob	1.0907proj	1.085context	FanDuel 245 avg 1 books
56	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 57.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.2%Under prob · Palantir	26.4%no-vig	-0.49%	2.1341count	0.5779prob	1.1985proj	0.926context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
57	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs PITPaul Skenes	P 54.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	45.2%Under prob · Palantir	27.1%no-vig	-0.40%	2.0261count	0.5477prob	1.1772proj	0.964context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
58	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 45.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	54.1%Under prob · Palantir	55.3%no-vig	-0.60%	1.5972count	0.4591prob	0.9588proj	1.024context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
59	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 66.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	33.9%Under prob · Palantir	28.3%no-vig	-0.44%	2.5221count	0.6613prob	1.1405proj	0.998context	FanDuel 105 avg 1 books
60	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 51.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	48.2%Under prob · Palantir	33.8%no-vig	-0.51%	1.9069count	0.5184prob	0.9877proj	0.998context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
61	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs ATHJeffrey Springs	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	45.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.1%no-vig	-0.61%	1.9712count	0.5453prob	1.0357proj	0.961context	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
62	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs TORKevin Gausman	P 52.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	48.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.2%no-vig	-0.42%	1.8686count	0.5202prob	0.9994proj	0.998context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
63	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs DETFramber Valdez	P 42.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	57.7%Under prob · Palantir	42.9%no-vig	-0.44%	1.4367count	0.4231prob	0.7505proj	1.06context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
64	Jeff McNeilATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 36.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	64.0%Under prob · Palantir	43.8%no-vig	-0.67%	1.2464count	0.3596prob	0.7472proj	0.937context	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
65	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs PITPaul Skenes	P 37.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.1%no-vig	-0.87%	1.3112count	0.37prob	0.8276proj	0.964context	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
66	Tyler SoderstromATH	ATH vs KCNoah Cameron	P 43.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	56.2%Under prob · Palantir	57.1%no-vig	-0.62%	1.5073count	0.4382prob	0.8008proj	0.937context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
67	Luis Robert Jr.NYM	NYM vs WSHMiles Mikolas	P 51.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	48.2%Under prob · Palantir	49.4%no-vig	-0.63%	1.8866count	0.5175prob	0.94proj	1.037context	FanDuel -110 avg 1 books
68	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs COLMichael Lorenzen	P 52.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	47.1%Under prob · Palantir	48.3%no-vig	-0.58%	1.8937count	0.529prob	0.9934proj	1.009context	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
69	Joey BartPIT	PIT vs STLHunter Dobbins	P 36.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.8%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	-0.83%	1.2632count	0.3621prob	0.7552proj	0.926context	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
70	Davis SchneiderTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 38.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	61.6%Under prob · Palantir	62.1%no-vig	-0.85%	1.2697count	0.3837prob	0.6158proj	1.024context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
71	Anthony SantanderTOR	TOR vs MINBailey Ober	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5	29.3%Over prob · Palantir	30.0%no-vig	-1.17%	0.9046count	0.2934prob	0.4174proj	1.024context	FanDuel 225 avg 1 books