Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 2026-07-19 Refreshed Jul 21 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Total Bases

Total Bases · Fangorn.

Contact quality, base-path distribution, and pricing context without sportsbook-style chrome.

Rows
184
Date
2026-07-19
Lane
Fangorn
TOTAL BASES 2026-07-19 · saved artifact ROWS 184 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5 · 1.5
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.059, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-07-21
Palantir 4739 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.076 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Fangorn does not cover Total Bases yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

This challenger passed its historical validation gate, but its production inference path is not wired yet. No probability is shown until the real model output is written to the daily log.

Methodology reference: