The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Kurtz, Nick in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats L · 452 PA
Ranked comps for Kurtz, Nick
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Wood, James WSH · L · 562 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.0zOppo rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.6zPull rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA | 0.49 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 552 PA | 0.48 | Oppo rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -2.5zSprint speed +1.4zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA | 0.47 | Barrel rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate | Walk rate -2.3zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 345 PA | 0.45 | Bat speedIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Walk rate -2.3zOppo rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.45 | Sprint speedPull rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.7zBat speed -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.44 | Barrel rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.3zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA | 0.43 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Murakami, Munetaka CWS · L · 460 PA | 0.41 | Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.3zFly-ball rate +1.9zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA | 0.39 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateIsolated power | Strikeout rate -1.9zHard-hit rate -1.6zChase rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 545 PA | 0.35 | Barrel rateWalk rateOppo rate | In-zone contact +2.2zWhiff rate -1.9zHard-hit rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.