The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 598 PA

Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 387 PA 0.64 Barrel rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.2zChase rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z
02 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Walk rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z
03 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.62 Isolated powerSprint speedHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.9zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.1z
04 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 512 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactSprint speedIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.9zHard-hit rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z
05 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 439 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Walk rate -2.7zSweet-spot rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.7z
06 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 533 PA 0.61 Pull rateMax exit velocitySwing length Chase rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 588 PA 0.60 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.6zChase rate -1.2zPull rate +1.0z
08 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA 0.57 Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Isolated power -1.7zChase rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z
09 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 382 PA 0.57 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z
10 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 530 PA 0.56 Swing lengthStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate -2.2zPull rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.0z
11 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.56 Bat speedPull rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5z
12 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA 0.54 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed Swing length +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3zPull rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.