The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 715 PA
Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedPull rateIsolated power | Walk rate -2.2zBarrel rate +0.9zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactSprint speedWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.4zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zSwing length -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA | 0.63 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA | 0.62 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Walk rate -1.7zBat speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Chase rate -1.9zHard-hit rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Chase rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA | 0.57 | Strikeout rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Walk rate -2.1zPull rate -1.4zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.56 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateSwing length | Walk rate -1.9zWhiff rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.