The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats L · 382 PA

Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.86 Strikeout rateChase rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +0.8zAvg exit velocity -0.7zBarrel rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA 0.77 In-zone contactWhiff rateFly-ball rate Isolated power +0.8zxwOBA on contact +0.8zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 590 PA 0.70 Avg exit velocitySprint speedBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power +1.3zPull rate +1.0zOppo rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateBat speedSprint speed Walk rate -1.9zIsolated power -0.8zxwOBA on contact -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA 0.67 Barrel rateHard-hit rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA 0.67 Walk rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA 0.65 Swing lengthIsolated powerHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA 0.65 Barrel rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +1.2zChase rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 531 PA 0.63 Isolated powerMax exit velocityBat speed xwOBA on contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA 0.63 Isolated powerIn-zone contactPull rate Swing length +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 344 PA 0.63 Oppo rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.6zPull rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.