The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats L · 456 PA

Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.78 Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity -1.0zBarrel rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 627 PA 0.75 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Walk rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0zSwing length +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.69 Oppo rateIn-zone contactPull rate Isolated power +1.3zBarrel rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.67 Barrel ratePull rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.2zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA 0.67 Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 708 PA 0.65 Barrel rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA 0.65 Sprint speedSwing lengthMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA 0.63 Barrel rateIsolated powerPull rate Swing length +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA 0.63 Isolated powerWhiff rateBat speed Oppo rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Sprint speed +2.0zWalk rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 449 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.