The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cruz, Oneil in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 345 PA

Ranked comps for Cruz, Oneil

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA 0.55 Barrel rateChase rateOppo rate Strikeout rate -1.7zBat speed -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 552 PA 0.54 Sprint speedFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.6zWhiff rate -1.3zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 501 PA 0.47 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIsolated power Walk rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.4zChase rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.45 Bat speedIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Walk rate +2.3zOppo rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Walker, Jordan STL · R · 587 PA 0.40 Barrel rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Swing length +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 376 PA 0.38 Isolated powerOppo rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -2.4zFly-ball rate +1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.37 Walk rateOppo rateSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity -2.3zHard-hit rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 509 PA 0.35 Barrel rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity -1.9zChase rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Wood, James WSH · L · 562 PA 0.34 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Oppo rate +2.6zWalk rate +1.8zPull rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA 0.33 Sprint speedBarrel rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA 0.32 Walk rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Sprint speed -2.4zStrikeout rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA 0.32 Swing lengthPull rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.7zChase rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.