The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 594 PA

Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA 0.67 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.65 Pull rateOppo rateSwing length Avg exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 584 PA 0.59 Sweet-spot ratePull rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 345 PA 0.55 Barrel rateChase rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.7zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA 0.53 Whiff rateGround-ball rateBat speed Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zPull rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA 0.52 Barrel rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.8zSwing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
07 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 552 PA 0.52 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Pull rate -2.1zSwing length -1.7zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA 0.50 Bat speedStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Pull rate -2.2zSprint speed -1.9zSwing length -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.49 Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 501 PA 0.49 Swing lengthWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -2.5zChase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA 0.49 Bat speedOppo rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 599 PA 0.47 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.