The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 662 PA

Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWhiff ratePull rate Avg exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 659 PA 0.60 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactIsolated power Pull rate -1.9zSwing length -1.7zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 438 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactChase rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 725 PA 0.53 Whiff rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.53 Isolated powerPull rateSprint speed Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.5zSwing length -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA 0.53 Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.4zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA 0.52 Oppo rateWhiff rateBat speed Swing length -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.51 Barrel rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.1zSwing length -1.8zPull rate -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA 0.49 Max exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.7zSwing length -1.6zPull rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.49 Pull rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Max exit velocity -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.