The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 631 PA
Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.74 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Walk rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zSwing length -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateSwing length | In-zone contact -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 662 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Chase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.7zSwing length -1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Chase rate +1.9zHard-hit rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Wood, James WSH · L · 650 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerBat speedChase rate | xwOBA on contact +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 659 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactBat speedIsolated power | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA | 0.51 | Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Walk rate -1.6zPull rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.