The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 509 PA

Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power -1.3zPull rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA 0.67 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 584 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Oppo rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.64 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Isolated power -1.4zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 617 PA 0.63 Whiff rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA 0.61 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.59 Oppo rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate In-zone contact -1.6zPull rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 545 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.2zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 615 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 552 PA 0.55 Barrel rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 613 PA 0.55 Chase rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactBat speedStrikeout rate Chase rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.