Heads up
The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-08 beta
LAA 6, BOS 1. Final.
The Mirror’s record: every call graded →
Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.
Final
LAA 6, BOS 1
The final result has replaced the last live pitch state. Published 04:48:57Z UTC · back to slate
6 – 1final score
7total runs
44% → 0%BOS win prob, pregame → final
Pregame baseline
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Detmers, Reid vs Sandoval, Patrick · engine 0.1.13 · back to slate
LAA 55.5%BOS 44.5%
4.07 – 3.38mean score
7.44mean total
59%NRFI
11.6%extra innings
7.1 / 6.85starter K means
Run distributions
Total runs across 8,000 sims
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Hover a bar for the probability of that exact total.
Team run distributions
LAA (gold) vs BOS (cyan)
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Paired bars per run count.
Projected batting lines
LAA per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto, Zach | 4.845 | 1.108 | 0.139 | 1.803 | 0.427 | 1.751 | 0.447 |
| Trout, Mike | 4.736 | 1.086 | 0.133 | 1.753 | 0.683 | 1.484 | 0.469 |
| Siri, Jose | 4.628 | 1.076 | 0.122 | 1.696 | 0.323 | 1.581 | 0.532 |
| Grissom, Vaughn | 4.507 | 1.133 | 0.094 | 1.655 | 0.311 | 1.049 | 0.542 |
| Ballesteros, Moisés | 4.393 | 1.028 | 0.117 | 1.591 | 0.385 | 1.183 | 0.52 |
| Moore, Christian | 4.277 | 0.91 | 0.08 | 1.323 | 0.327 | 1.35 | 0.391 |
| 677347 | 4.174 | 0.882 | 0.092 | 1.352 | 0.514 | 1.614 | 0.39 |
| Guzman, Denzer | 4.07 | 0.932 | 0.097 | 1.42 | 0.273 | 1.2 | 0.429 |
| d'Arnaud, Travis | 3.959 | 0.81 | 0.077 | 1.177 | 0.378 | 1.222 | 0.345 |
Projected batting lines
BOS per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony, Roman | 4.543 | 0.972 | 0.068 | 1.378 | 0.504 | 1.445 | 0.328 |
| Jones, Jahmai | 4.431 | 0.926 | 0.099 | 1.446 | 0.368 | 1.561 | 0.397 |
| Abreu, Wilyer | 4.326 | 0.952 | 0.116 | 1.559 | 0.396 | 1.184 | 0.463 |
| Story, Trevor | 4.224 | 0.94 | 0.056 | 1.294 | 0.21 | 1.499 | 0.371 |
| Sogard, Nick | 4.115 | 0.931 | 0.069 | 1.333 | 0.407 | 1.075 | 0.366 |
| Durbin, Caleb | 4.016 | 0.927 | 0.068 | 1.315 | 0.302 | 0.836 | 0.364 |
| Monasterio, Andruw | 3.909 | 0.853 | 0.057 | 1.213 | 0.284 | 1.006 | 0.332 |
| White, Eli | 3.787 | 0.925 | 0.098 | 1.462 | 0.254 | 1.037 | 0.436 |
| Wong, Connor | 3.667 | 0.771 | 0.048 | 1.071 | 0.288 | 1.089 | 0.318 |
One representative simulation
A median-outcome game, batter by batter
This is the play-by-play of one sim whose final total matched the median across all runs — a preview of the most typical version of tonight.
— Top 1 —
Neto, Zach vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
Trout, Mike vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
Siri, Jose vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
— Bottom 1 —
Anthony, Roman vs Detmers, Reid: K
Jones, Jahmai vs Detmers, Reid: K
Abreu, Wilyer vs Detmers, Reid: K
— Top 2 —
Grissom, Vaughn vs Sandoval, Patrick: 1B
Ballesteros, Moisés vs Sandoval, Patrick: 1B
Moore, Christian vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
Guzman, Denzer vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT GB
— Bottom 2 —
Story, Trevor vs Detmers, Reid: OUT AIR
Sogard, Nick vs Detmers, Reid: OUT GB
Durbin, Caleb vs Detmers, Reid: OUT AIR
— Top 3 —
d'Arnaud, Travis vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT GB
Neto, Zach vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
Trout, Mike vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
— Bottom 3 —
Monasterio, Andruw vs Detmers, Reid: 1B
White, Eli vs Detmers, Reid: HR +2 runs (0-2)
Wong, Connor vs Detmers, Reid: OUT AIR
Anthony, Roman vs Detmers, Reid: K
Jones, Jahmai vs Detmers, Reid: K
— Top 4 —
Siri, Jose vs Sandoval, Patrick: HR +1 run (1-2)
Grissom, Vaughn vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
Ballesteros, Moisés vs Sandoval, Patrick: BB
Moore, Christian vs Sandoval, Patrick: BB
vs Sandoval, Patrick: 1B +1 run (2-2)
Guzman, Denzer vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT GB
— Bottom 4 —
Abreu, Wilyer vs Detmers, Reid: K
Story, Trevor vs Detmers, Reid: OUT GB
Sogard, Nick vs Detmers, Reid: BB
Durbin, Caleb vs Detmers, Reid: K
— Top 5 —
d'Arnaud, Travis vs Sandoval, Patrick: 1B
Neto, Zach vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
Trout, Mike vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT AIR
Siri, Jose vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT GB
— Bottom 5 —
Monasterio, Andruw vs Detmers, Reid: K
White, Eli vs Detmers, Reid: K
Wong, Connor vs Detmers, Reid: OUT GB
— Top 6 —
Grissom, Vaughn vs Sandoval, Patrick: OUT GB
Ballesteros, Moisés vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
Moore, Christian vs Sandoval, Patrick: 1B
vs Sandoval, Patrick: K
— Bottom 6 —
Anthony, Roman vs Detmers, Reid: 1B
Jones, Jahmai vs Detmers, Reid: K
Abreu, Wilyer vs Detmers, Reid: K
Story, Trevor vs Detmers, Reid: 2B +1 run (2-3)
Sogard, Nick vs Detmers, Reid: 1B +1 run (2-4)
Durbin, Caleb vs Joyce, Ben: 1B
Monasterio, Andruw vs Joyce, Ben: BB
White, Eli vs Joyce, Ben: K
— Top 7 —
Guzman, Denzer vs Olds, Wyatt: OUT AIR
d'Arnaud, Travis vs Olds, Wyatt: K
Neto, Zach vs Olds, Wyatt: K
— Bottom 7 —
Wong, Connor vs Joyce, Ben: K
Anthony, Roman vs Saucedo, Tayler: OUT GB
Jones, Jahmai vs Saucedo, Tayler: BB
Abreu, Wilyer vs Saucedo, Tayler: OUT AIR
— Top 8 —
Trout, Mike vs Olds, Wyatt: 1B
Siri, Jose vs Chapman, Aroldis: K
Grissom, Vaughn vs Chapman, Aroldis: 1B +1 run (3-4)
Ballesteros, Moisés vs Chapman, Aroldis: OUT GB
— Bottom 8 —
Story, Trevor vs Saucedo, Tayler: OUT GB
Sogard, Nick vs Peralta, Sammy: 3B
Durbin, Caleb vs Peralta, Sammy: BB
Monasterio, Andruw vs Peralta, Sammy: OUT GB
— Top 9 —
Moore, Christian vs Chapman, Aroldis: OUT GB
vs Whitlock, Garrett: OUT GB
Guzman, Denzer vs Whitlock, Garrett: 1B
d'Arnaud, Travis vs Whitlock, Garrett: BB
Neto, Zach vs Whitlock, Garrett: K