Mithrandir Metrics
The Mirror live sim Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Heads up The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-08 beta

It shows things that were, things that are, and things that yet may be.

The Mirror’s record: every call graded →

Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.

HOU @ PHI2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
HOU 61.5%PHI 38.5%
Wesneski, Hayden vs Painter, Andrew
mean 4.82–3.52 · total 8.34 · NRFI 52%
NYM @ MIA2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
NYM 43.5%MIA 56.5%
Manaea, Sean vs Alcantara, Sandy
mean 3.9–4.39 · total 8.29 · NRFI 53%
MIN @ DET2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
MIN 40.8%DET 59.2%
Kremer, Dean vs Anderson, Drew
mean 4.25–4.92 · total 9.17 · NRFI 52%
LAA @ BOS2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
LAA 55.5%BOS 44.5%
Detmers, Reid vs Sandoval, Patrick
mean 4.07–3.38 · total 7.44 · NRFI 59%
CLE @ BAL2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
CLE 47.1%BAL 52.9%
Bibee, Tanner vs Young, Brandon
mean 4.28–4.43 · total 8.71 · NRFI 52%
COL @ NYY2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
COL 31.7%NYY 68.3%
Hughes, Gabriel vs Schlittler, Cam
mean 3.76–5.4 · total 9.16 · NRFI 52%
TB @ ATL2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
TB 50.6%ATL 49.4%
Peralta, Freddy vs Smith-Shawver, AJ
mean 5.07–4.79 · total 9.86 · NRFI 46%
CHC @ MIL2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
CHC 28.7%MIL 71.3%
Peterson, David vs Misiorowski, Jacob
mean 3.25–5.27 · total 8.51 · NRFI 54%
AZ @ KC2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
AZ 53.4%KC 46.6%
Pitcher 669203 vs Wacha, Michael
mean 4.76–4.15 · total 8.91 · NRFI 55%
PIT @ CWS2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
PIT 44.5%CWS 55.5%
Chandler, Bubba vs Burke, Sean
mean 3.86–4.29 · total 8.14 · NRFI 57%
TEX @ SEA2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
TEX 50.5%SEA 49.5%
Quantrill, Cal vs Miller, Bryce
mean 3.71–3.51 · total 7.23 · NRFI 59%
STL @ SF2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
STL 47.6%SF 52.4%
Mathews, Quinn vs Roupp, Landen
mean 3.85–3.81 · total 7.66 · NRFI 57%
WSH @ SD2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
WSH 41.1%SD 58.9%
Cornelio, Riley vs Mize, Casey
mean 4.31–5.04 · total 9.35 · NRFI 51%
TOR @ ATH2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
TOR 59.8%ATH 40.2%
Soriano, José vs Perkins, Jack
mean 5.0–3.84 · total 8.83 · NRFI 56%
CIN @ LAD2026-09-08 · 8,000 sims
CIN 31.8%LAD 68.2%
Lodolo, Nick vs Skubal, Tarik
mean 3.98–5.62 · total 9.6 · NRFI 50%