Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 20260831 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Futures

Season futures.

Projection, market price, and long-horizon uncertainty in one view.

Rows
75
Families
5
Coverage
92%
FUTURES 20260831 UPDATED Aug 30, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1
Fair-price gaps are provisional — model still calibrating Futures lanes don't yet have graded results to validate these gaps. Read them as long-horizon uncertainty ranges, not established advantages.
Lane Health 2026-08-31
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Futures

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Fangorn does not cover Futures yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Award futures lane is intentionally limited to Palantir. Historical award-market snapshots are structurally different from daily props and require a different modeling approach. This is on the post-launch roadmap.

Methodology reference: docs/projections_m3_methodology_audit_2026_04.md