Mithrandir Metrics

FUTURES 20260831 UPDATED Aug 30, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1

Lane Health 2026-08-31

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Model Lane

Futures

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Division Winners

Division Winner Gaps

FanDuel market fair prices against Mithrandir playoff and division odds, grouped by division.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

American League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
TB 82-54	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	79.5%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	-78.9pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 78-59	P 68.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	17.4%fanduel	68.7%Palantir	+51.3pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BAL 68-69	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+17.1pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TOR 68-70	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	9.2%Palantir	+9.0pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BOS 74-63	P 4.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.7%fanduel	4.1%Palantir	+1.4pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

American League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
CWS 72-64	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	81.4%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-80.5pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
DET 63-73	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+40.6pp	Team wins band 75 to 94	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
KC 62-76	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	29.5%Palantir	+29.3pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIN 65-72	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	17.3%Palantir	+16.4pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CLE 69-68	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	16.9%fanduel	11.0%Palantir	-5.9pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.

Market slice

American League West

3 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
HOU 69-68	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	54.0%fanduel	21.0%Palantir	-33.0pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
SEA 64-73	P 35.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	28.5%fanduel	35.0%Palantir	+6.5pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TEX 67-70	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	17.6%fanduel	22.3%Palantir	+4.7pp	Team wins band 73 to 93	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.

Market slice

National League East

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
ATL 82-55	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	86.4%fanduel	34.9%Palantir	-51.5pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYM 61-76	P 41.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	41.3%Palantir	+41.1pp	Team wins band 81 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PHI 77-60	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	13.0%fanduel	23.0%Palantir	+10.1pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIA 69-68	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.6%Palantir	+0.4pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
WSH 65-74	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.2%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-0.0pp	Team wins band 60 to 79	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

National League Central

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
MIL 85-52	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	97.1%fanduel	26.4%Palantir	-70.7pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CHC 77-60	P 44.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.5%fanduel	44.4%Palantir	+41.9pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
PIT 67-71	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	15.5%Palantir	+15.3pp	Team wins band 71 to 90	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CIN 65-72	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	12.5%Palantir	+12.4pp	Team wins band 69 to 88	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
STL 68-70	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	1.2%Palantir	+1.1pp	Team wins band 61 to 80	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Pennants And World Series

October Futures

FanDuel pennant and World Series prices, sorted by current standings rank with market and model gaps kept visible.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.

Market slice

World Series

15 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
LAD 82-55	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	35.1%fanduel	11.2%Palantir	-23.9pp	Team wins band 82 to 101	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
NYY 78-59	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.5%fanduel	19.2%Palantir	+9.8pp	Team wins band 85 to 104	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
MIL 85-52	P 2.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	10.1%fanduel	2.4%Palantir	-7.6pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TB 82-54	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.6%fanduel	0.2%Palantir	-7.5pp	Team wins band 64 to 82	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
BOS 74-63	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.9%fanduel	1.1%Palantir	-4.8pp	Team wins band 69 to 89	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
BAL 68-69	P 4.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	4.4%Palantir	+3.7pp	Team wins band 75 to 95	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CWS 72-64	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.5%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-3.5pp	Team wins band 58 to 77	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
ATL 82-55	P 8.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.5%fanduel	8.2%Palantir	+2.7pp	Team wins band 80 to 99	WatchModel and market are separated, but not by much.
CLE 69-68	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	2.3%fanduel	0.8%Palantir	-1.5pp	Team wins band 67 to 86	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
AZ 73-65	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	+1.2pp	Team wins band 73 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
PHI 77-60	P 5.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	4.5%fanduel	5.6%Palantir	+1.1pp	Team wins band 78 to 98	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
CHC 77-60	P 4.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.5%fanduel	4.4%Palantir	-1.1pp	Team wins band 76 to 95	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
SD 72-65	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.9%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	+0.8pp	Team wins band 74 to 93	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
HOU 69-68	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	3.0%fanduel	2.7%Palantir	-0.3pp	Team wins band 72 to 92	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
MIA 69-68	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.1%Palantir	-0.0pp	Team wins band 62 to 81	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Season Win Totals

Win Total Context

Current over numbers against the simulated team-win distribution. This is intentionally conservative because the free-source lane is still one-sided rather than a full paired total market.

Win totals are currently shown from surfaced over numbers only, not a full over/under consensus book.

Market slice

All Teams

0 rows

No rows

No rows are available for this futures slice.

Awards

Award Market Gaps

Player award markets compared against the current projection surface. To keep this board readable, the tables prioritize names that have both book pricing and projection coverage.

Awards markets remain the thinnest coverage lane because free-book boards include many names outside the current projection universe.

Market slice

AL MVP

7 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Yordan Alvarez fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	99.1%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-99.1pp	Value band 2.4 to 5.7	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Bobby Witt Jr. fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.0%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	+0.9pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Junior Caminero fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.7pp	Value band 4.5 to 7.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Pete Alonso fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.1%fanduel	0.3%Palantir	+0.2pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Willson Contreras fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.0pp	Value band 2.1 to 5.5	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Ben Rice fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.0pp	Value band 2.3 to 5.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Dillon Dingler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.0pp	Value band 1.6 to 5.0	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL MVP

2 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Pete Crow-Armstrong fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	90.4%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-90.4pp	Value band 1.3 to 5.6	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Shohei Ohtani fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-9.6pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.

Market slice

AL Cy Young

6 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Cam Schlittler fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	58.5%fanduel	0.9%Palantir	-57.6pp	Value band -28.4 to 37.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Dylan Cease fanduel	P 7.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	37.1%fanduel	7.2%Palantir	-29.9pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Gavin Williams fanduel	P 2.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.9%fanduel	2.1%Palantir	+1.3pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.8%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.8pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Drew Rasmussen fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.5%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	-0.5pp	Value band -26.2 to 43.2	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Sonny Gray fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	1.0%Palantir	-0.1pp	Value band -27.0 to 34.7	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Cy Young

5 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Jacob Misiorowski fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	90.6%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-90.6pp	Value band -5.4 to 28.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Cristopher Sanchez fanduel	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	10.7%Palantir	+9.7pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Chris Sale fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	7.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-7.0pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.0pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.
Chase Burns fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	0.3%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-0.3pp	Band unavailable	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

AL Rookie of the Year

2 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Parker Messick fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	5.7%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-5.7pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Payton Tolle fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	1.2%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-1.2pp	Value band -18.4 to 14.6	No SignalThe gap is too small to treat as meaningful.

Market slice

NL Rookie of the Year

2 rows

Entity	Three lanes	Market	Model	Gap	Range	Read
Sal Stewart fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	71.7%fanduel	2.0%Palantir	-69.7pp	Band unavailable	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Nolan McLean fanduel	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	9.0%fanduel	0.0%Palantir	-9.0pp	Value band -5.9 to 27.5	Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.