Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir 20261015 Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Futures

Season futures.

Projection, market price, and long-horizon uncertainty in one view.

Rows
4
Families
1
Coverage
100%
FUTURES 20261015 UPDATED Oct 14, 2026 08:00 AM ET BOOKS 1
Fair-price gaps are provisional — model still calibrating Futures lanes don't yet have graded results to validate these gaps. Read them as long-horizon uncertainty ranges, not established advantages.
Lane Health 2026-10-15
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Futures

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Division Winners

Division Winner Gaps

FanDuel market fair prices against Mithrandir playoff and division odds, grouped by division.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.
Pennants And World Series

October Futures

FanDuel pennant and World Series prices, sorted by current standings rank with market and model gaps kept visible.

Current pricing is FanDuel-only in the free-source lane.
Market slice

World Series

4 rows
Entity Three lanes Market Model Gap Range Read
MIL 103-59
P 2.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
45.1%fanduel 2.4%Palantir -42.7pp Team wins band 73 to 92 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
TB 98-64
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
21.5%fanduel 0.2%Palantir -21.3pp Team wins band 64 to 82 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
CLE 85-77
P 2.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
13.4%fanduel 0.8%Palantir -12.7pp Team wins band 67 to 86 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
LAD 100-62
P 11.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
19.9%fanduel 11.2%Palantir -8.8pp Team wins band 82 to 101 Wider GapProjection and market are meaningfully separated.
Season Win Totals

Win Total Context

Current over numbers against the simulated team-win distribution. This is intentionally conservative because the free-source lane is still one-sided rather than a full paired total market.

Win totals are currently shown from surfaced over numbers only, not a full over/under consensus book.
Market slice

All Teams

0 rows
No rows

No rows are available for this futures slice.

Awards

Award Market Gaps

Player award markets compared against the current projection surface. To keep this board readable, the tables prioritize names that have both book pricing and projection coverage.

Awards markets remain the thinnest coverage lane because free-book boards include many names outside the current projection universe.