Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-02 · saved artifact ROWS 39 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs COL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.316count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
02	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs ATL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.225count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
03	Mickey MoniakCOL	COL vs MIA	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.346count	98.0%selected	1.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
04	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs KC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.23count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
05	Kyle TeelCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.323count	98.0%selected	1.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Ha-Seong KimATL	ATL vs STL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.274count	98.0%selected	1.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
07	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs COL	P 18.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	48.8%no-vig	+81.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.83count	81.3%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel -105 avg 1 books
08	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs COL	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+84.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.756count	84.2%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
09	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs MIA	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+84.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.758count	84.1%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
10	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs KC	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+79.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
11	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs ATL	P 13.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.682count	86.9%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
12	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs MIA	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+81.64%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	81.6%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs KC	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+84.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.738count	84.3%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs KC	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+75.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.9%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
15	Tj FriedlCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.2%Over prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+79.85%	1+ Hitline	0.853count	20.2%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 750 avg 1 books
16	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 10.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+89.66%	1+ Hitline	0.598count	89.7%selected	2.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
17	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs ATL	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+85.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.725count	85.3%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 10.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+89.53%	1+ Hitline	0.602count	89.5%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
19	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs COL	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.0%Under prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+70.01%	2+ Hitsline	1.089count	70.0%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
20	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs STL	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
21	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs COL	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.938count	76.4%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
22	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+83.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.765count	83.3%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
23	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs STL	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+83.45%	1+ Hitline	0.76count	83.5%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
24	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs STL	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.968count	75.1%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
25	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+80.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
26	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+77.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
27	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs ATL	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.65%	2+ Hitsline	0.98count	74.7%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
28	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.1%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+70.91%	1+ Hitline	1.068count	29.1%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
29	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+82.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.788count	82.4%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
30	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs STL	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.979count	74.7%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
31	Edouard JulienCOL	COL vs MIA	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.6%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+84.62%	1+ Hitline	0.728count	84.6%selected	3.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
32	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.3%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+75.69%	1+ Hitline	0.952count	24.3%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
33	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs MIA	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	75.8%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
34	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+88.16%	1+ Hitline	0.627count	88.2%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
35	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs MIA	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+77.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.914count	77.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
36	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs KC	P 33.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.3%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+66.34%	2+ Hitsline	1.174count	66.3%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
37	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs MIL	P 12.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.1%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+87.08%	1+ Hitline	0.659count	87.1%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
38	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs STL	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.4%Over prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	+75.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	24.4%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
39	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs STL	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.3%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.68%	1+ Hitline	1.026count	27.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books