Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-03 · saved artifact ROWS 36 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.22count	98.0%selected	1.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
02	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs STL	P 3.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+96.42%	1+ Hitline	0.378count	96.4%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
03	Kyle TeelCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.293count	98.0%selected	1.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
04	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CHC	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+84.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.748count	84.4%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
05	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 11.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+88.57%	1+ Hitline	0.631count	88.6%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs STL	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+82.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	82.8%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
07	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 8.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+91.67%	1+ Hitline	0.532count	91.7%selected	2.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
08	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+88.96%	1+ Hitline	0.62count	89.0%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
09	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CHC	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+82.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	82.5%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
10	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+79.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.867count	79.3%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
11	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+77.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.912count	77.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
12	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 12.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.2%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+87.17%	1+ Hitline	0.673count	87.2%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
13	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+78.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.878count	78.9%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
14	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs STL	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.89count	78.4%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
15	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+86.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.685count	86.7%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
16	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+88.42%	1+ Hitline	0.636count	88.4%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
17	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+85.91%	1+ Hitline	0.692count	85.9%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
18	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+85.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.729count	85.2%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
19	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.7%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+71.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.05count	71.7%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
20	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+82.93%	1+ Hitline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
21	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+83.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.767count	83.2%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
22	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.84count	80.4%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
23	James WoodWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.937count	76.4%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
24	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+70.54%	2+ Hitsline	1.077count	70.5%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
25	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.76%	2+ Hitsline	1.002count	73.8%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
26	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.976count	74.7%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
27	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+81.09%	2+ Hitsline	0.821count	81.1%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
28	Spencer SteerCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+77.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.919count	77.2%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
29	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs CLE	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+85.84%	1+ Hitline	0.694count	85.8%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
30	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs STL	P 37.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	37.8%Over prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+62.18%	2+ Hitsline	1.276count	37.8%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
31	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.82%	2+ Hitsline	1.046count	71.8%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
32	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs PIT	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.90%	2+ Hitsline	1.069count	70.9%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
33	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs STL	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.938count	76.2%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
34	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.67%	2+ Hitsline	1.001count	73.7%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
35	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs STL	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.17%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.2%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs STL	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.1%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+77.88%	1+ Hitline	0.902count	22.1%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books