Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-01 · saved artifact ROWS 60 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.218count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
02	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs CWS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.231count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
03	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+96.81%	1+ Hitline	0.357count	96.8%selected	1.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
04	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 5.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	94.7%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+94.73%	1+ Hitline	0.459count	94.7%selected	2.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
05	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 5.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	94.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+94.48%	1+ Hitline	0.47count	94.5%selected	2.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
06	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 7.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+92.58%	1+ Hitline	0.5count	92.6%selected	2.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
07	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs TOR	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+87.61%	2+ Hitsline	0.66count	87.6%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
08	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs CIN	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+87.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.67count	87.3%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
09	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+87.87%	1+ Hitline	0.652count	87.9%selected	3.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
10	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs SEA	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+86.67%	1+ Hitline	0.671count	86.7%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
11	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+79.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.869count	79.2%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
12	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs SEA	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+86.21%	1+ Hitline	0.684count	86.2%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
13	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs WSH	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+73.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.002count	73.7%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
14	Tyler O'NeillBAL	BAL vs PHI	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.40%	1+ Hitline	0.761count	83.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
15	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs CWS	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
16	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.955count	75.7%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
17	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+82.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	82.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs TEX	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.46%	2+ Hitsline	0.913count	77.5%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
19	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.913count	77.5%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
20	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+68.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.123count	68.6%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
21	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.819count	81.2%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
22	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
23	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.6%Over prob · Palantir	52.4%no-vig	+79.40%	1+ Hitline	0.859count	20.6%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
24	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs TOR	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+86.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.1%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
25	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs TOR	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.949count	75.9%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
26	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.902count	77.7%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
27	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.8%Over prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+79.17%	1+ Hitline	0.87count	20.8%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
28	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+81.56%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
29	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs WSH	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+70.74%	2+ Hitsline	1.072count	70.7%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
30	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 12.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.4%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+87.39%	1+ Hitline	0.65count	87.4%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
31	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs SEA	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+86.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.1%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
32	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.871count	79.1%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
33	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs CWS	P 33.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	33.9%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+66.09%	1+ Hitline	1.179count	33.9%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
34	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs PHI	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+78.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.884count	78.6%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
35	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs TEX	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+82.75%	1+ Hitline	0.778count	82.8%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
36	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+86.41%	1+ Hitline	0.678count	86.4%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
37	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs TEX	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+84.79%	1+ Hitline	0.723count	84.8%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
38	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 35.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.4%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+64.63%	1+ Hitline	1.218count	35.4%selected	4.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
39	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs TB	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+85.08%	1+ Hitline	0.715count	85.1%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
40	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs PHI	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.5%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+74.49%	1+ Hitline	0.984count	25.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
41	Corey SeagerTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+76.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.928count	76.8%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
42	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+83.85%	1+ Hitline	0.749count	83.9%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
43	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs HOU	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+82.06%	1+ Hitline	0.796count	82.1%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
44	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs WSH	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.7%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+71.25%	1+ Hitline	1.061count	28.7%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
45	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs PHI	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+76.69%	1+ Hitline	0.927count	76.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
46	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.96%	2+ Hitsline	1.02count	73.0%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
47	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs SEA	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.4%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+81.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.813count	81.4%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
48	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs WSH	P 29.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+70.23%	2+ Hitsline	1.084count	70.2%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
49	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs TB	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+82.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.79count	82.3%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
50	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.6%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+77.43%	1+ Hitline	0.913count	22.6%selected	4.37role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
51	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs PHI	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	81.5%no-vig	+84.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.735count	84.9%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
52	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs TEX	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+81.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.805count	81.7%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
53	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs CWS	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.3%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.73%	1+ Hitline	0.955count	24.3%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
54	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs WSH	P 31.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.9%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+68.10%	1+ Hitline	1.136count	31.9%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
55	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.25%	2+ Hitsline	1.06count	71.2%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
56	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs TB	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+80.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.846count	80.1%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
57	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.9%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+75.15%	1+ Hitline	0.969count	24.9%selected	4.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
58	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs SEA	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+79.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.851count	79.9%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
59	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs TEX	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+76.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.939count	76.4%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
60	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs WSH	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+80.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.841count	80.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books