Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-11 · saved artifact ROWS 64 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.279count	98.0%selected	1.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
02	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs SEA	P 10.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.5%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+89.51%	1+ Hitline	0.586count	89.5%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
03	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs PHI	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+85.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.726count	85.3%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
04	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs CLE	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.695count	86.4%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
05	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PIT	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.1%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+87.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.65count	87.9%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
07	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 11.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+88.56%	1+ Hitline	0.632count	88.6%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
08	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs SEA	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+85.44%	1+ Hitline	0.705count	85.4%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
09	Tyler O'NeillBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+85.91%	1+ Hitline	0.692count	85.9%selected	3.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+85.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.733count	85.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
11	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+77.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.902count	77.9%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
12	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+78.56%	2+ Hitsline	0.885count	78.6%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
13	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	83.5%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
14	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+82.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	82.5%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
15	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.8%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+73.21%	1+ Hitline	1.013count	26.8%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
16	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+87.99%	1+ Hitline	0.649count	88.0%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
17	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs STL	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	79.8%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
18	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs CLE	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.47%	1+ Hitline	0.759count	83.5%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
19	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs PHI	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.42%	1+ Hitline	0.76count	83.4%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
20	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.799count	82.0%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
21	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+84.47%	1+ Hitline	0.732count	84.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
22	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs HOU	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+82.07%	1+ Hitline	0.796count	82.1%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
23	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+89.03%	1+ Hitline	0.618count	89.0%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
24	Edgar QueroCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+82.87%	1+ Hitline	0.775count	82.9%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
25	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs STL	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.886count	78.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
26	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs PHI	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+84.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.755count	84.2%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
27	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs STL	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.876count	78.9%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
28	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs MIA	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.924count	77.0%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
29	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+71.84%	2+ Hitsline	1.046count	71.8%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
30	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+83.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.77count	83.0%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
31	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs STL	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+72.42%	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
32	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+75.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.9%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
33	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs MIA	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+85.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.724count	85.4%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
34	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.871count	79.1%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
35	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+80.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.842count	80.3%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
36	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+85.75%	1+ Hitline	0.697count	85.8%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
37	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs MIA	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.827count	80.9%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
38	Colt KeithDET	DET vs CLE	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+81.00%	1+ Hitline	0.824count	81.0%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
39	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs CLE	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+84.31%	1+ Hitline	0.737count	84.3%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
40	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+81.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	81.7%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
41	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.994count	74.1%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
42	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs MIA	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+83.56%	2+ Hitsline	0.757count	83.6%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
43	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+84.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.737count	84.9%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
44	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.6%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+78.37%	1+ Hitline	0.89count	21.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
45	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+83.33%	2+ Hitsline	0.763count	83.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
46	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PIT	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+77.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.922count	77.1%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
47	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs STL	P 35.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	64.7%Under prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+64.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.216count	64.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
48	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+78.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
49	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs STL	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.943count	76.2%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
50	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs STL	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+67.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.147count	67.6%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
51	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+87.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.677count	87.0%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
52	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs HOU	P 33.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.3%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+66.26%	2+ Hitsline	1.179count	66.3%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
53	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 30.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+69.35%	2+ Hitsline	1.106count	69.3%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
54	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+77.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.91count	77.5%selected	3.77role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
55	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs CLE	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.5%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+80.54%	1+ Hitline	0.835count	19.5%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
56	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PIT	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.8%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+82.15%	1+ Hitline	0.794count	17.8%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
57	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.5%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+74.53%	1+ Hitline	0.983count	25.5%selected	4.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
58	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+79.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.852count	79.9%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
59	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 35.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.3%Over prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+64.71%	1+ Hitline	1.21count	35.3%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
60	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.7%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.34%	1+ Hitline	1.058count	28.7%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
61	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs CLE	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
62	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+74.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.974count	74.9%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
63	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.9%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+75.15%	1+ Hitline	0.968count	24.9%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
64	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+82.25%	1+ Hitline	0.792count	82.2%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books