Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-14 · saved artifact ROWS 38 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs STL	P 3.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.2%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+96.15%	1+ Hitline	0.393count	96.2%selected	1.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
02	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs STL	P 6.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+93.33%	1+ Hitline	0.516count	93.3%selected	2.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
03	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CHC	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.1%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
04	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs TOR	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.3%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+88.30%	1+ Hitline	0.623count	88.3%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
05	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs STL	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+85.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.717count	85.6%selected	3.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs TOR	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+83.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	83.8%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
07	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs MIA	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.77%	1+ Hitline	0.751count	83.8%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
08	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs DET	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+80.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.825count	81.0%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs LAD	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+86.00%	1+ Hitline	0.69count	86.0%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
10	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs AZ	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+76.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.946count	76.1%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
11	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs SF	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+82.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.79count	82.3%selected	3.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
12	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs STL	P 40.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	40.5%Over prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+59.53%	2+ Hitsline	1.339count	40.5%selected	4.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
13	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs SD	P 8.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.5%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+91.55%	1+ Hitline	0.536count	91.5%selected	2.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
14	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs CLE	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.944count	76.2%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
15	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs MIA	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+85.10%	1+ Hitline	0.715count	85.1%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
16	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CHC	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+84.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.747count	84.5%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
17	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs AZ	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+73.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.012count	73.3%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
18	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs KC	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+83.62%	1+ Hitline	0.755count	83.6%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
19	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs DET	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+83.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.747count	83.9%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
20	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs DET	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.884count	78.6%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
21	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs AZ	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.2%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+73.78%	1+ Hitline	1.001count	26.2%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
22	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs CLE	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+85.53%	1+ Hitline	0.703count	85.5%selected	3.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
23	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs CLE	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+85.46%	1+ Hitline	0.705count	85.5%selected	3.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
24	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs MIA	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	81.8%no-vig	+86.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.694count	86.4%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
25	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs COL	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.999count	73.9%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
26	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs MIA	P 29.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+70.21%	2+ Hitsline	1.085count	70.2%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
27	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs STL	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+81.01%	1+ Hitline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
28	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CHC	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.41%	2+ Hitsline	1.01count	73.4%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
29	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs SD	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+75.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	75.6%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
30	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs STL	P 28.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.9%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.06%	1+ Hitline	1.065count	28.9%selected	4.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
31	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs STL	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.4%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.64%	1+ Hitline	0.957count	24.4%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
32	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs CLE	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+81.48%	1+ Hitline	0.812count	81.5%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
33	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs AZ	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+82.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.794count	82.2%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
34	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs CLE	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.5%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.54%	1+ Hitline	1.007count	26.5%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
35	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs CLE	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.0%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+76.99%	1+ Hitline	0.924count	23.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
36	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs AZ	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	70.8%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+70.75%	1+ Hitline	1.072count	70.8%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
37	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs AZ	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.2%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.83%	1+ Hitline	1.023count	27.2%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
38	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs STL	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.0%Over prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	+76.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.944count	24.0%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books