Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-24 · saved artifact ROWS 27 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs DET	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.217count	98.0%selected	1.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
02	Mickey MoniakCOL	COL vs WSH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.346count	98.0%selected	1.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs DET	P 7.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	92.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+92.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.54count	92.7%selected	2.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
04	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs DET	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+79.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.868count	79.7%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
05	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs COL	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+88.26%	1+ Hitline	0.641count	88.3%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
06	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs TB	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.9%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+86.85%	1+ Hitline	0.682count	86.9%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
07	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs WSH	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+83.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.766count	83.8%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
08	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs BOS	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+81.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.828count	81.3%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
09	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs MIA	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+85.35%	1+ Hitline	0.724count	85.4%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
10	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs DET	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+80.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	80.1%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs COL	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+86.29%	1+ Hitline	0.698count	86.3%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
12	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs COL	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+72.59%	2+ Hitsline	1.029count	72.6%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
13	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs TB	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+83.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.767count	83.2%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
14	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs MIA	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
15	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs COL	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.863count	79.5%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
16	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs WSH	P 25.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.0%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+75.00%	1+ Hitline	0.972count	25.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
17	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs MIA	P 31.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.8%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+68.24%	1+ Hitline	1.132count	31.8%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
18	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs TEX	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
19	Colt KeithDET	DET vs TB	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+82.06%	1+ Hitline	0.796count	82.1%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
20	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs WSH	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+76.58%	1+ Hitline	0.934count	23.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
21	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs TEX	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.4%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+77.65%	1+ Hitline	0.908count	22.4%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
22	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs TB	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	19.5%Over prob · Palantir	16.9%no-vig	+80.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.836count	19.5%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
23	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs MIA	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.6%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+74.45%	1+ Hitline	0.985count	25.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
24	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs TEX	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	81.1%no-vig	+83.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.765count	83.2%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
25	Connor NorbyMIA	MIA vs BOS	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	82.5%no-vig	+84.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	84.4%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
26	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs TB	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+84.94%	1+ Hitline	0.719count	84.9%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
27	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs BOS	P 29.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.0%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.02%	1+ Hitline	1.066count	29.0%selected	4.15role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books