Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-27 · saved artifact ROWS 38 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 2.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.2%Under prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+97.15%	1+ Hitline	0.338count	97.2%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 2.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.2%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+97.25%	1+ Hitline	0.332count	97.2%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
03	Mickey MoniakCOL	COL vs WSH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.343count	98.0%selected	1.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
04	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs LAD	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.197count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
05	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs HOU	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+88.22%	1+ Hitline	0.625count	88.2%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
06	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs WSH	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+84.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.759count	84.0%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
07	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs BAL	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+85.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.721count	85.5%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
08	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs KC	P 10.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.4%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+89.37%	1+ Hitline	0.607count	89.4%selected	3.15role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
09	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs HOU	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+83.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.765count	83.3%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
10	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs BAL	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+83.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.767count	83.8%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
11	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs KC	P 16.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.70%	1+ Hitline	0.753count	83.7%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
12	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs WSH	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.805count	81.7%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
13	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+80.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.84count	80.4%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs LAD	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+81.82%	1+ Hitline	0.803count	81.8%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
15	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs ATL	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.921count	76.9%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
16	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs TOR	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.858count	79.7%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
17	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs ATL	P 29.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.7%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+70.32%	1+ Hitline	1.082count	29.7%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
18	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.8%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+76.20%	1+ Hitline	0.939count	23.8%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
19	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.98%	2+ Hitsline	1.042count	72.0%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
20	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs TOR	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+70.03%	2+ Hitsline	1.089count	70.0%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
21	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs TOR	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
22	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs WSH	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.926count	76.9%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
23	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs TOR	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	81.8%no-vig	+86.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.699count	86.3%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
24	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 10.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.9%Under prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+89.92%	1+ Hitline	0.59count	89.9%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
25	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	16.9%Over prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+83.08%	1+ Hitline	0.77count	16.9%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
26	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs HOU	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.9%Over prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+69.12%	2+ Hitsline	1.111count	30.9%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
27	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	11.7%Over prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+88.27%	1+ Hitline	0.641count	11.7%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 750 avg 1 books
28	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs LAD	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+79.33%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
29	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs LAD	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.9%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+80.07%	1+ Hitline	0.848count	19.9%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
30	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs ATL	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.4%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+79.60%	1+ Hitline	0.859count	20.4%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
31	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs LAD	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+86.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.674count	86.6%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
32	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.2%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+74.77%	1+ Hitline	0.978count	25.2%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
33	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs ATL	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+74.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.975count	74.7%selected	4.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
34	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs LAD	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	21.7%no-vig	+76.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.928count	23.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
35	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs KC	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+74.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.983count	74.4%selected	4.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
36	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs KC	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.3%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+67.69%	1+ Hitline	1.145count	32.3%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
37	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs WSH	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.6%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.36%	1+ Hitline	0.963count	24.6%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
38	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs LAD	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.5%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+79.52%	1+ Hitline	0.861count	20.5%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books