Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-08-15 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
82
Matched
294
Lineups
270
HR BOARD 2026-08-15 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 9.3%market +4.1pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 7.8
6.2pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
02
Brendan Donovan SEA
IN
SEA vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.7pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 9.3
4.1pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 890 avg 3 books
03
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 9.7%market +3.6pp
P 10.3
F 13.2
V 14.6
4.3pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
04
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2
 13.3%Fangorn 10.1%market +3.2pp
P 13.4
F 13.3
V 14.8
1.5pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
05
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 11.0%market +2.4pp
P 15.1
F 13.4
V 10.6
4.5pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
06
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
 12.8%Fangorn 10.5%market +2.3pp
P 12.9
F 12.8
V 15.1
2.3pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
07
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 11.2%market +2.2pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 11.3
2.4pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
08
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 6
 13.3%Fangorn 11.3%market +2.0pp
P 11.5
F 13.3
V 9.1
4.2pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
09
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 11.7%market +1.7pp
P 13.6
F 13.4
V 10.8
2.7pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
10
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 5
 13.3%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.0pp
P 12.3
F 13.3
V 14.3
2.0pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
11
Ryan Jeffers MIN
IN
MIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 12.4%market +0.8pp
P 11.7
F 13.2
V 11.1
2.2pp 1.052xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
12
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 12.7%market +0.7pp
P 13.8
F 13.4
V 11.2
2.6pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
13
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 12.7%market +0.6pp
P 14.6
F 13.4
V 13.9
1.3pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
14
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 13.1%market +0.3pp
P 15.6
F 13.4
V 12.9
2.7pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
15
Dansby Swanson CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 6
 13.3%Fangorn 13.6%market -0.3pp
P 12.8
F 13.3
V 9.9
3.4pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 635 avg 3 books
16
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 6
 13.0%Fangorn 13.4%market -0.4pp
P 13.0
F 13.0
V 12.0
1.0pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
17
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 13.9%market -0.5pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 18.1
4.7pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
18
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 13.8%market -0.6pp
P 11.9
F 13.2
V 13.0
1.3pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
19
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 14.1%market -0.9pp
P 12.8
F 13.2
V 15.1
2.3pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
20
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 14.1%market -0.9pp
P 12.6
F 13.2
V 12.9
0.6pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
21
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 14.2%market -1.0pp
P 12.2
F 13.2
V 11.5
1.7pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
22
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.5%market -1.1pp
P 15.1
F 13.4
V 13.9
1.7pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
23
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINBrady Singer · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 14.7%market -1.4pp
P 13.6
F 13.3
V 14.7
1.4pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
24
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.8%market -1.4pp
P 12.0
F 13.4
V 14.0
2.0pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
25
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 14.9%market -1.5pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 13.0
0.9pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
26
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 15.0%market -1.6pp
P 15.4
F 13.4
V 13.7
2.0pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
27
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 15.4%market -2.1pp
P 13.3
F 13.3
V 13.3
0.1pp 1.052xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
28
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 15.4%market -2.2pp
P 13.1
F 13.2
V 15.3
2.2pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
29
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 15.5%market -2.2pp
P 13.9
F 13.3
V 13.0
0.9pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
30
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 1
 13.5%Fangorn 15.8%market -2.3pp
P 16.1
F 13.5
V 14.8
2.6pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
31
Jose Altuve HOU
IN
HOU vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 15.8%market -2.4pp
P 14.9
F 13.4
V 15.4
2.0pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
32
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.0pp
P 15.7
F 13.4
V 15.2
2.2pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
33
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.5pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 15.2
1.8pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
34
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.6pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 11.2
3.7pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
35
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.6pp
P 15.6
F 13.4
V 15.2
2.2pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
36
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.9pp
P 15.6
F 13.4
V 12.6
3.0pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
37
Jacob Wilson ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 6
 4.4%Fangorn 9.5%market -5.1pp
P 10.6
F 4.4
V 9.9
6.2pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 950 avg 3 books
38
Xavier Edwards MIA
IN
MIA vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1
 12.9%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.2pp
P 8.7
F 12.9
V 11.6
4.3pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
39
Luis Arraez SF
IN
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1
 12.9%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.2pp
P 8.2
F 12.9
V 11.2
4.7pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
40
Jung Hoo Lee SF
IN
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 7
 12.8%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.1pp
P 8.7
F 12.8
V 8.0
4.8pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
41
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1
 12.8%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.1pp
P 7.8
F 12.8
V 12.4
5.0pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
42
Jake Mangum PIT
IN
PIT vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1
 12.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +4.5pp
P 7.6
F 12.1
V 11.7
4.5pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
43
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 9.1%market +4.1pp
P 9.7
F 13.2
V 6.1
7.1pp 0.912xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
44
Willi Castro COL
IN
COL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
 12.9%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.1pp
P 8.8
F 12.9
V 9.4
4.1pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
45
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +0.9pp
P 10.6
F 13.2
V 8.8
4.4pp 0.912xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
46
Brenton Doyle COL
Lineup pending
COL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5
 12.9%Fangorn 12.0%market +0.9pp
P 9.8
F 12.9
V 11.1
3.2pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
47
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
 11.8%Fangorn 10.9%market +0.9pp
P 10.8
F 11.8
V 12.5
1.8pp 1.052xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 785 avg 3 books
48
Ezequiel Tovar COL
IN
COL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4
 12.8%Fangorn 12.5%market +0.3pp
P 10.2
F 12.8
V 11.0
2.6pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
49
Heliot Ramos SF
IN
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 13.7%market -0.3pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 12.4
1.2pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
50
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 15.3%market -2.1pp
P 12.3
F 13.2
V 13.0
0.9pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
51
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3
 13.0%Fangorn 15.3%market -2.3pp
P 12.4
F 13.0
V 14.9
2.5pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
52
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN
HOU vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5
 13.3%Fangorn 16.0%market -2.7pp
P 12.6
F 13.3
V 13.9
1.3pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
53
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5
 13.3%Fangorn 16.1%market -2.8pp
P 13.7
F 13.3
V 10.7
3.1pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
54
Royce Lewis MIN
IN
MIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 16.7%market -3.5pp
P 11.6
F 13.2
V 13.8
2.2pp 1.052xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
55
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
 4.4%Fangorn 8.0%market -3.6pp
P 4.3
F 4.4
V 7.0
2.7pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
56
Jorge Polanco NYM
IN
NYM vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 17.1%market -3.7pp
P 13.8
F 13.4
V 14.6
1.2pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
57
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -4.3pp
P 12.3
F 13.2
V 15.8
3.5pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
58
Daulton Varsho TOR
IN
TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -4.4pp
P 11.5
F 13.2
V 10.2
3.0pp 0.912xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
59
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 17.9%market -4.4pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 15.4
2.0pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
60
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.5pp
P 12.9
F 13.2
V 9.5
3.7pp 0.912xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
61
Willy Adames SF
Lineup pending
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.5pp
P 13.6
F 13.2
V 14.2
1.0pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
62
Hunter Goodman COL
Lineup pending
COL vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2
 13.3%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.7pp
P 12.5
F 13.3
V 13.2
0.8pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
63
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.9pp
P 14.0
F 13.3
V 14.9
1.6pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
64
Teoscar Hernández LAD
IN
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -5.1pp
P 12.6
F 13.2
V 11.3
1.9pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
65
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 18.7%market -5.3pp
P 14.6
F 13.4
V 13.5
1.2pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
66
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3
 13.3%Fangorn 19.1%market -5.8pp
P 14.1
F 13.3
V 12.1
2.0pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
67
Francisco Lindor NYM
IN
NYM vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 19.4%market -6.0pp
P 14.9
F 13.4
V 15.0
1.7pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
68
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -6.1pp
P 12.0
F 13.2
V 8.8
4.3pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
69
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -6.1pp
P 11.4
F 13.2
V 14.2
2.8pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
70
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 19.6%market -6.2pp
P 13.8
F 13.4
V 16.1
2.7pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
71
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 20.0%market -6.6pp
P 14.2
F 13.4
V 15.8
2.4pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
72
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.1pp
P 13.8
F 13.3
V 12.5
1.3pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
73
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.4pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 15.6
2.2pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
74
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.6pp
P 13.6
F 13.2
V 15.6
2.4pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
75
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.6pp
P 13.9
F 13.2
V 14.7
1.5pp 0.924xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
76
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 21.1%market -7.6pp
P 14.7
F 13.4
V 13.3
1.3pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
77
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 3
 13.3%Fangorn 21.7%market -8.4pp
P 14.0
F 13.3
V 15.9
2.6pp 1.098xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
78
Byron Buxton MIN
IN
MIN vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 22.0%market -8.6pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 14.4
1.0pp 1.052xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
79
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 22.0%market -8.6pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 11.9
1.5pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
80
Corey Seager TEX
IN
TEX vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 22.5%market -9.1pp
P 14.3
F 13.4
V 15.6
2.3pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
81
Cal Raleigh SEA
IN
SEA vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 26.3%market -13.1pp
P 15.5
F 13.2
V 15.7
2.5pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books
82
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 29.8%market -16.4pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 14.9
1.5pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Data context

779 sample flags
Status2505roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.