Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-07-27 · saved artifact ROWS 14 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-07-27

Palantir 964 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.031 14d error rising

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 460 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.038 14d error rising

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	David PetersonCHC	CHC vs STLneutral	P 66.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	66.3%Over prob · Palantir	44.1%no-vig	+0.31%	4.75count	49.7%ladder	34.4%ladder	22.2%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
02	Keider MonteroDET	DET vs BALneutral	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	69.8%Under prob · Palantir	51.9%no-vig	+2.62%	3.61count	30.2%ladder	17.5%ladder	9.4%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
03	Tyler MahleSF	SF vs MILpitcher-friendly	P 41.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	58.3%Under prob · Palantir	45.9%no-vig	+8.29%	4.27count	41.7%ladder	27.1%ladder	16.3%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -135 avg 1 books
04	Max ScherzerTOR	TOR vs WSHneutral	P 48.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	48.9%Over prob · Palantir	41.4%no-vig	+1.11%	3.69count	31.6%ladder	18.6%ladder	10.1%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 128 avg 1 books
05	Martín PérezATL	ATL vs NYMneutral	P 48.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	51.6%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+7.49%	3.36count	25.8%ladder	14.3%ladder	7.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
06	Slade CecconiCLE	CLE vs CINhitter-friendly	P 40.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	59.8%Under prob · Palantir	52.4%no-vig	+9.84%	4.18count	40.2%ladder	25.7%ladder	15.3%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -102 avg 1 books
07	Kumar RockerTEX	TEX vs SEAhitter-friendly	P 42.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	57.3%Under prob · Palantir	50.0%no-vig	+7.26%	4.33count	42.7%ladder	28.0%ladder	17.0%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -113 avg 1 books
08	Zack WheelerPHI	PHI vs MIAneutral	P 50.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	49.5%Under prob · Palantir	42.8%no-vig	+0.51%	6.85count	76.2%ladder	63.7%ladder	50.5%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -154 avg 1 books
09	George KirbySEA	SEA vs TEXhitter-friendly	P 43.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	57.0%Under prob · Palantir	53.7%no-vig	+7.00%	5.31count	58.2%ladder	43.0%ladder	29.7%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 104 avg 1 books
10	Merrill KellyAZ	AZ vs PITneutral	P 44.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	55.2%Under prob · Palantir	52.9%no-vig	+5.23%	4.45count	44.8%ladder	29.8%ladder	18.5%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
11	Kyle BradishBAL	BAL vs DETneutral	P 48.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	48.9%Over prob · Palantir	46.7%no-vig	+1.13%	5.71count	63.7%ladder	48.9%ladder	35.2%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 102 avg 1 books
12	Max FriedNYY	NYY vs CWSneutral	P 43.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	56.2%Under prob · Palantir	54.7%no-vig	+6.25%	5.36count	58.9%ladder	43.8%ladder	30.4%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 108 avg 1 books
13	Mitch KellerPIT	PIT vs AZneutral	P 60.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 4	60.4%Over prob · Palantir	59.4%no-vig	+6.92%	4.35count	43.1%ladder	28.3%ladder	17.2%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -170 avg 1 books
14	Matthew LiberatoreSTL	STL vs CHCneutral	P 55.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	44.1%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+0.92%	3.70count	31.8%ladder	18.8%ladder	10.2%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books