Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 2026-08-31 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Strikeouts

Strikeouts · Fangorn.

Starter strikeout probabilities, alt-ladder context, and lane health in one dense market view.

Rows
14
Date
2026-08-31
Lane
Fangorn
STRIKEOUTS 2026-08-31 · saved artifact ROWS 14 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Model-market gaps are provisional This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate the gaps. Treat them as early model signals, not established advantages.
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.061, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-08-31
Palantir 1556 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1052 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.017 14d error rising

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Fangorn does not cover Strikeouts yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Fangorn lane for K is in active development. We're working behind the scenes on a model accurate enough to ship for fans to use, rather than shipping a worse one that doesn't pass our accuracy benchmark.

Methodology reference: