Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-08-31 · saved artifact ROWS 14 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-08-31

Palantir 1556 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1052 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.017 14d error rising

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Brandon PfaadtAZ	AZ vs PHIneutral	P 65.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5	65.9%Over prob · Palantir	52.9%no-vig	+0.79%	4.72count	49.2%ladder	34.0%ladder	21.9%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -128 avg 1 books
02	Jacob deGromTEX	TEX vs ATHhitter-friendly	P 37.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5	62.1%Under prob · Palantir	49.6%no-vig	+1.55%	5.90count	66.1%ladder	51.5%ladder	37.9%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books
03	Bryce ElderATL	ATL vs SFneutral	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	54.5%Over prob · Palantir	42.2%no-vig	+10.78%	5.06count	54.5%ladder	39.2%ladder	26.3%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 124 avg 1 books
04	Michael KingSD	SD vs CINhitter-friendly	P 44.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	56.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.6%no-vig	+5.95%	5.38count	59.2%ladder	44.0%ladder	30.7%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
05	Kyle HarrisonMIL	MIL vs CHChitter-friendly	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	67.7%Under prob · Palantir	56.7%no-vig	+2.58%	4.61count	47.4%ladder	32.3%ladder	20.4%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 118 avg 1 books
06	Tanner GordonCOL	COL vs BALhitter-friendly	P 36.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	63.5%Under prob · Palantir	52.8%no-vig	+3.98%	3.97count	36.5%ladder	22.6%ladder	13.0%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 101 avg 1 books
07	George KirbySEA	SEA vs BOShitter-friendly	P 59.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	59.5%Over prob · Palantir	50.0%no-vig	+5.66%	5.40count	59.5%ladder	44.3%ladder	31.0%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -113 avg 1 books
08	Taj BradleyMIN	MIN vs DETneutral	P 45.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	54.8%Under prob · Palantir	48.1%no-vig	+4.77%	5.46count	60.3%ladder	45.2%ladder	31.8%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
09	Jackson JobeDET	DET vs MINneutral	P 52.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	52.0%Over prob · Palantir	47.1%no-vig	+2.02%	3.86count	34.6%ladder	21.0%ladder	11.8%ladder	23.2%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
10	Aaron NolaPHI	PHI vs AZneutral	P 52.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 2 of 2	47.3%Under prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+2.69%	4.94count	52.7%ladder	37.4%ladder	24.7%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -142 avg 1 books
11	Brady SingerCIN	CIN vs SDhitter-friendly	P 45.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	45.9%Over prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+4.07%	4.52count	45.9%ladder	30.9%ladder	19.3%ladder	19.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 126 avg 1 books
12	Ryan GustoMIA	MIA vs WSHneutral	P 59.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	59.1%Over prob · Palantir	55.1%no-vig	+8.29%	4.27count	41.7%ladder	27.1%ladder	16.3%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -140 avg 1 books
13	Clay HolmesCHC	CHC vs MILhitter-friendly	P 39.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	61.1%Under prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+11.05%	4.11count	39.0%ladder	24.7%ladder	14.5%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 126 avg 1 books
14	Cade PovichBAL	BAL vs COLhitter-friendly	P 46.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	46.9%Over prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+0.33%	4.79count	50.3%ladder	35.1%ladder	22.8%ladder	26.1%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books