The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raley, Luke in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 284 PA

Ranked comps for Raley, Luke

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 404 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateSwing lengthBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.2zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateBarrel rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +2.0zPull rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Caissie, Owen MIA · L · 255 PA 0.55 Ground-ball rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate +1.9zPull rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 410 PA 0.50 Isolated powerStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 403 PA 0.46 Isolated powerHard-hit rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.9zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 385 PA 0.46 Chase ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.46 Isolated powerChase rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.8zIn-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 314 PA 0.42 Chase rateStrikeout rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 334 PA 0.41 Bat speedStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -2.3zxwOBA on contact -1.8zSwing length +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 400 PA 0.41 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.8zWalk rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 227 PA 0.41 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Walk rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.6zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 394 PA 0.41 Bat speedMax exit velocityPull rate Sweet-spot rate -2.3zxwOBA on contact -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.