The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 539 PA
Ranked comps for Burger, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 562 PA | 0.77 | xwOBA on contactOppo ratePull rate | Sprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Sprint speed -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 367 PA | 0.73 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 364 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +0.9zPull rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 561 PA | 0.71 | Walk rateBarrel rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 439 PA | 0.70 | Pull rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.0zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA | 0.67 | Walk ratePull rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 497 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Sprint speed +1.5zPull rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | House, Brady WSH · R · 303 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocitySwing length | Sprint speed +1.4zPull rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 566 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Pull rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.