The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 638 PA
Ranked comps for Burger, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.74 | Swing lengthBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA | 0.74 | Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA | 0.73 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerSwing length | Sprint speed -2.0zWhiff rate -0.8zSweet-spot rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 637 PA | 0.72 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1zBat speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 687 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.8zWhiff rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityOppo rateIn-zone contact | Avg exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA | 0.67 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.4zPull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactPull rate | Isolated power -1.2zChase rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateChase rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball ratePull rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.7zSwing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.