The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 638 PA

Ranked comps for Burger, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.74 Swing lengthBarrel rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.8z
02 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.7z
03 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA 0.73 Strikeout rateIsolated powerSwing length Sprint speed -2.0zWhiff rate -0.8zSweet-spot rate +0.7z
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.72 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z
05 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 637 PA 0.72 Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate Sprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z
06 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1zBat speed -0.9z
07 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 687 PA 0.68 Swing lengthIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.8zWhiff rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityOppo rateIn-zone contact Avg exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z
09 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA 0.67 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.4zPull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z
10 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA 0.66 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Isolated power -1.2zChase rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1z
11 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.65 Fly-ball ratePull rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate -1.7zSwing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.