The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lile, Daylen in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats L · 436 PA
Ranked comps for Lile, Daylen
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 419 PA | 0.71 | Pull rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Hard-hit rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 379 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 424 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateChase rate | Isolated power +1.3zSweet-spot rate -0.9zHard-hit rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 367 PA | 0.66 | Walk rateBat speedSwing length | Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vierling, Matt DET · R · 289 PA | 0.66 | Oppo rateSwing lengthHard-hit rate | Pull rate -2.0zFly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 278 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocityWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 335 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateIsolated powerChase rate | Sprint speed -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 224 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 436 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Albies, Ozzie ATL · L · 438 PA | 0.63 | Chase rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.7zBarrel rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 367 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.9zHard-hit rate +1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 342 PA | 0.60 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Oppo rate -1.8zChase rate -1.4zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.