The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 526 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 361 PA 0.68 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocitySprint speed In-zone contact -2.0zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.66 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot ratePull rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 735 PA 0.59 Bat speedWhiff rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 680 PA 0.58 Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.58 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.57 Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate Pull rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.56 Bat speedIsolated powerWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zChase rate -1.4zPull rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.55 Swing lengthGround-ball rateBarrel rate Pull rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 403 PA 0.54 Bat speedPull rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.9zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.54 Pull rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 493 PA 0.53 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.