The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Merrill, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 582 PA

Ranked comps for Merrill, Jackson

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA 0.76 Max exit velocityOppo rateStrikeout rate Isolated power +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 593 PA 0.73 Isolated powerSwing lengthChase rate Fly-ball rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA 0.72 Barrel rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityWalk rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9zChase rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 526 PA 0.71 Pull rateStrikeout rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 561 PA 0.68 Avg exit velocityOppo ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity +1.4zBat speed +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 574 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateChase rate Max exit velocity +1.5zBat speed +1.2zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.1zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthxwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.5zWalk rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA 0.66 Chase rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 551 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.5zSprint speed -1.2zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact Swing length +1.4zOppo rate -0.9zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.