The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Merrill, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats L · 708 PA
Ranked comps for Merrill, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | In-zone contact +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.7zIsolated power +0.9zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | In-zone contact +1.5zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 624 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedFly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Pull rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateStrikeout rateOppo rate | Barrel rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 543 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 703 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocityBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA | 0.61 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 493 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactStrikeout rateSwing length | Barrel rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.