The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Ildemaro in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 456 PA
Ranked comps for Vargas, Ildemaro
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 562 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Sprint speed -2.2zIsolated power -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 523 PA | 0.66 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Chase rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 395 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactChase rateSwing length | Oppo rate +2.2zSprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 554 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 574 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerOppo rate | Chase rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA | 0.65 | Sweet-spot rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Fortes, Nick TB · R · 299 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 523 PA | 0.64 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 372 PA | 0.62 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 537 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateIsolated powerPull rate | Walk rate +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 486 PA | 0.56 | Isolated powerSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 486 PA | 0.53 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.4zWhiff rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.