The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Naylor, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 557 PA
Ranked comps for Naylor, Josh
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 452 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Sprint speed +2.2zIsolated power +1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA | 0.63 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.0zChase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 331 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Isolated power +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA | 0.60 | In-zone contactOppo rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 523 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedOppo rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +2.4zFly-ball rate +1.0zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.57 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.8zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 482 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | Sprint speed +2.4zFly-ball rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 436 PA | 0.53 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerPull rate | Max exit velocity -2.1zSprint speed +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Diaz, Yainer HOU · R · 286 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.51 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.1zGround-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 518 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.