The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Naylor, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 665 PA

Ranked comps for Naylor, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 533 PA 0.69 Pull rateStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 506 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA 0.64 Walk rateSwing lengthAvg exit velocity Isolated power +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateWalk rateGround-ball rate Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +1.2zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 635 PA 0.56 Bat speedWalk rateOppo rate Sprint speed +2.3zFly-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA 0.53 Ground-ball rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.4zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 592 PA 0.51 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Sprint speed +2.4zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 655 PA 0.50 Barrel rateIn-zone contactBat speed Isolated power +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 448 PA 0.50 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate -2.1zSwing length -1.4zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.49 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA 0.49 Ground-ball rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact Chase rate -2.0zStrikeout rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 423 PA 0.48 Fly-ball rateOppo ratePull rate Sprint speed +1.7zMax exit velocity -1.7zWalk rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.