The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rice, Ben in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 584 PA
Ranked comps for Rice, Ben
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 615 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zPull rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Oppo rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 491 PA | 0.66 | Chase rateStrikeout rateWalk rate | Swing length -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.4zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 613 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 400 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.5zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.59 | Chase rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Isolated power -1.7zPull rate -1.5zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA | 0.59 | Sweet-spot rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.6zChase rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA | 0.59 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.58 | Walk rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Isolated power -1.8zPull rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.58 | Bat speedPull rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.4zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 423 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.55 | Fly-ball rateChase ratePull rate | Isolated power -1.7zSprint speed +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.