The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Ildemaro in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 323 PA
Ranked comps for Vargas, Ildemaro
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Andujar, Miguel SD · R · 262 PA | 0.80 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedPull rate | Strikeout rate +1.0zWhiff rate +0.7zGround-ball rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 228 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactPull rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 253 PA | 0.71 | Walk ratePull rateFly-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 348 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 407 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityChase rate | Sprint speed -2.0zIsolated power -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 368 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zChase rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 373 PA | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactBat speedSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Fortes, Nick TB · R · 239 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateSwing lengthChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zIsolated power -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 401 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateBat speedAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 375 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedIsolated powerSwing length | Fly-ball rate +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Clement, Ernie TOR · R · 389 PA | 0.57 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Fly-ball rate +1.7zHard-hit rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA | 0.57 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedHard-hit rate | Oppo rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.4zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.