Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-17 · saved artifact ROWS 56 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 2.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.3%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+97.34%	1+ Hitline	0.326count	97.3%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 2.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.5%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+97.45%	1+ Hitline	0.319count	97.5%selected	1.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
03	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs WSH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.314count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
04	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 4.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	95.5%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+95.53%	1+ Hitline	0.423count	95.5%selected	2.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
05	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+79.37%	2+ Hitsline	0.865count	79.4%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
06	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+81.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.819count	81.2%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
07	Mark VientosNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.798count	82.0%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
08	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 10.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.4%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+89.43%	1+ Hitline	0.605count	89.4%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
09	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs AZ	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+80.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.836count	80.5%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
10	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+86.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.697count	86.3%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
11	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 9.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.5%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+90.53%	1+ Hitline	0.571count	90.5%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
12	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+85.32%	1+ Hitline	0.709count	85.3%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
13	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs WSH	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.09%	1+ Hitline	0.769count	83.1%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
14	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.8%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
15	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs WSH	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+83.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.763count	83.9%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
16	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs WSH	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.935count	76.5%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
17	Casey SchmittSF	SF vs ATL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.2%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs WSH	P 34.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	65.9%Under prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+65.94%	2+ Hitsline	1.183count	65.9%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
19	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.6%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.859count	79.6%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
20	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+80.45%	1+ Hitline	0.831count	80.5%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
21	Zach NetoLAA	LAA vs AZ	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.956count	75.7%selected	4.38role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
22	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.33%	2+ Hitsline	0.891count	78.3%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
23	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs ATL	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.92count	77.2%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
24	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 31.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.0%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+68.96%	2+ Hitsline	1.114count	69.0%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
25	Mike TroutLAA	LAA vs AZ	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+81.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
26	Jake MeyersHOU	HOU vs DET	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+86.38%	1+ Hitline	0.695count	86.4%selected	3.11role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
27	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs ATL	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+82.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.778count	82.8%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
28	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+79.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	79.4%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
29	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs DET	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.5%Over prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+69.51%	1+ Hitline	1.101count	30.5%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
30	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs ATL	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	4.37role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
31	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.924count	77.0%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
32	Logan O'HoppeLAA	LAA vs AZ	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+84.45%	1+ Hitline	0.733count	84.5%selected	3.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
33	Edgar QueroCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+84.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.742count	84.1%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
34	Matt ChapmanSF	SF vs ATL	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+77.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.913count	77.4%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
35	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.956count	75.7%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
36	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.869count	79.2%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
37	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.12%	2+ Hitsline	1.087count	70.1%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
38	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs ATL	P 36.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	64.0%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+63.97%	2+ Hitsline	1.234count	64.0%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
39	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+74.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.983count	74.5%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
40	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs DET	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+77.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.913count	77.5%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
41	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs SF	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.66%	2+ Hitsline	1.074count	70.7%selected	4.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
42	Joey LoperfidoHOU	HOU vs DET	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.8%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+82.15%	1+ Hitline	0.808count	17.8%selected	3.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
43	Eli WhiteATL	ATL vs SF	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.2%Over prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+69.84%	2+ Hitsline	1.094count	30.2%selected	4.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
44	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs DET	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+80.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	80.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
45	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs SF	P 36.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	63.8%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+63.79%	2+ Hitsline	1.238count	63.8%selected	4.88role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
46	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+73.29%	2+ Hitsline	1.013count	73.3%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
47	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs SF	P 29.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.57%	2+ Hitsline	1.076count	70.6%selected	4.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
48	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs DET	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+76.14%	1+ Hitline	0.945count	76.1%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
49	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs DET	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.2%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.83%	1+ Hitline	1.07count	29.2%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
50	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	25.8%Over prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	+74.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.989count	25.8%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
51	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 34.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.3%Over prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+65.74%	1+ Hitline	1.192count	34.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
52	Dominic SmithATL	ATL vs SF	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.5%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+69.51%	1+ Hitline	1.101count	30.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
53	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.9%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+74.08%	1+ Hitline	0.991count	25.9%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
54	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.4%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+68.56%	1+ Hitline	1.125count	31.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
55	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs SF	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.0%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.96%	1+ Hitline	0.997count	26.0%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
56	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs SF	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+80.91%	1+ Hitline	0.826count	80.9%selected	4.06role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books