Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-19 · saved artifact ROWS 44 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 3.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.4%Under prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	+96.36%	1+ Hitline	0.381count	96.4%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 3.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.6%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+96.56%	1+ Hitline	0.371count	96.6%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs WSH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.238count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
04	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 2.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.1%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+97.06%	1+ Hitline	0.343count	97.1%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
05	Ha-Seong KimATL	ATL vs MIL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.248count	98.0%selected	1.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
06	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs CWS	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+84.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.735count	84.9%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
07	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs DET	P 9.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.7%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+90.68%	1+ Hitline	0.566count	90.7%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
08	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+85.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.705count	85.5%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs CHC	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+86.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.698count	86.3%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs NYY	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+87.32%	1+ Hitline	0.652count	87.3%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
11	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs WSH	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+78.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.896count	78.1%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
12	Edgar QueroCWS	CWS vs DET	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+85.86%	1+ Hitline	0.694count	85.9%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
13	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs DET	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.808count	81.6%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
14	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs NYY	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.8%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+88.76%	1+ Hitline	0.626count	88.8%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
15	Matt ShawCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+88.76%	1+ Hitline	0.626count	88.8%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
16	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.948count	76.0%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
17	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs NYY	P 11.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+88.53%	1+ Hitline	0.633count	88.5%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
18	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIL	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.7%Over prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+79.29%	1+ Hitline	0.867count	20.7%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
19	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	32.8%Over prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+67.19%	2+ Hitsline	1.157count	32.8%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
20	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs CWS	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+82.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.78count	82.7%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
21	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs NYY	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+86.17%	1+ Hitline	0.685count	86.2%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
22	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 27.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.1%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+72.09%	2+ Hitsline	1.041count	72.1%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
23	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs WSH	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+83.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.763count	83.3%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
24	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIL	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	13.9%Over prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+86.07%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	13.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 800 avg 1 books
25	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIL	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	+76.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.928count	23.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
26	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs WSH	P 35.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.5%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+64.52%	1+ Hitline	1.215count	35.5%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
27	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	18.8%Over prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+81.22%	1+ Hitline	0.818count	18.8%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
28	Colt KeithDET	DET vs CWS	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.872count	79.1%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
29	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+87.31%	1+ Hitline	0.669count	87.3%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
30	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIL	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.5%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+78.52%	1+ Hitline	0.886count	21.5%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
31	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.8%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+67.22%	1+ Hitline	1.156count	32.8%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
32	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs CWS	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.6%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+78.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.884count	78.6%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
33	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs CHC	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+82.81%	1+ Hitline	0.777count	82.8%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
34	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs CWS	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.991count	74.2%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
35	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+81.16%	1+ Hitline	0.82count	81.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
36	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs CHC	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+68.59%	2+ Hitsline	1.122count	68.6%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
37	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs WSH	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+74.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.983count	74.5%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
38	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+81.63%	1+ Hitline	0.807count	81.6%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
39	Spencer SteerCIN	CIN vs NYY	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+81.09%	2+ Hitsline	0.821count	81.1%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
40	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs MIL	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.1%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+78.91%	1+ Hitline	0.877count	21.1%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
41	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.9%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+77.11%	1+ Hitline	0.921count	22.9%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
42	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs CWS	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
43	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs CHC	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.3%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+75.66%	1+ Hitline	0.956count	24.3%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
44	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs TOR	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+79.70%	1+ Hitline	0.851count	79.7%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books