Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-04 · saved artifact ROWS 51 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs HOU	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.21count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
02	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs MIN	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+87.31%	1+ Hitline	0.652count	87.3%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
03	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs MIN	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+82.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.785count	82.5%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
04	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs TEX	P 15.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+84.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.74count	84.7%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
05	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs WSH	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+78.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.877count	78.9%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
06	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+76.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.939count	76.2%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
07	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+83.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.756count	83.6%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
08	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 9.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+91.02%	1+ Hitline	0.554count	91.0%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
09	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs SEA	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+85.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.704count	85.5%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
10	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.795count	82.1%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+83.12%	1+ Hitline	0.768count	83.1%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
12	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+85.75%	1+ Hitline	0.713count	85.8%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
13	Victor RoblesSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 11.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.9%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+88.86%	1+ Hitline	0.623count	88.9%selected	2.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
14	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 9.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.3%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+90.33%	1+ Hitline	0.577count	90.3%selected	2.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
15	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs HOU	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.792count	82.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
16	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs WSH	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	75.6%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
17	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+84.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.742count	84.1%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs CIN	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.25%	2+ Hitsline	0.765count	83.2%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
19	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs MIN	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.824count	81.0%selected	3.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
20	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs DET	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+82.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	82.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
21	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs DET	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.6%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+85.60%	1+ Hitline	0.701count	85.6%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
22	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs WSH	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.0%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+74.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.973count	75.0%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
23	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.81count	81.5%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs SEA	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+84.97%	1+ Hitline	0.718count	85.0%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
25	Tj FriedlCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.6%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+73.41%	1+ Hitline	1.01count	26.6%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
26	Colt KeithDET	DET vs TEX	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.878count	78.9%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
27	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs WSH	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+70.80%	2+ Hitsline	1.071count	70.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
28	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs HOU	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+86.53%	1+ Hitline	0.674count	86.5%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
29	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 27.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.5%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+72.54%	1+ Hitline	1.03count	27.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
30	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs SEA	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.13%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.1%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
31	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs HOU	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+79.22%	2+ Hitsline	0.869count	79.2%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
32	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs TB	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+82.63%	1+ Hitline	0.781count	82.6%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
33	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs DET	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+86.64%	1+ Hitline	0.671count	86.6%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
34	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+82.69%	1+ Hitline	0.78count	82.7%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
35	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs TOR	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+84.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.746count	84.5%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
36	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs CWS	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+83.44%	1+ Hitline	0.76count	83.4%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
37	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs TB	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.986count	74.4%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
38	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs DET	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+81.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
39	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs HOU	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.3%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.70%	1+ Hitline	1.073count	29.3%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs DET	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.932count	76.5%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
41	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.12%	2+ Hitsline	1.017count	73.1%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
42	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs TEX	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+82.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.785count	82.5%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
43	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs TEX	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.942count	76.2%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
44	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+82.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.797count	82.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
45	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs TB	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.8%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.24%	1+ Hitline	1.014count	26.8%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
46	Joey LoperfidoHOU	HOU vs TB	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.6%Under prob · Palantir	82.1%no-vig	+84.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.744count	84.6%selected	3.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
47	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs TB	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+79.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
48	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs BAL	P 31.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+68.47%	2+ Hitsline	1.127count	68.5%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
49	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs MIN	P 32.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	32.2%Over prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+67.76%	2+ Hitsline	1.144count	32.2%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
50	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs TEX	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+73.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.997count	73.9%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
51	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs TEX	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.6%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+78.37%	1+ Hitline	0.89count	21.6%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books