Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-04 · saved artifact ROWS 52 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs ATL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.294count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
02	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs MIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.278count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
03	Ha-Seong KimATL	ATL vs MIA	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.288count	98.0%selected	1.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
04	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs ATL	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+83.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.772count	83.5%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
05	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs NYY	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+84.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.755count	84.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
06	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs STL	P 12.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+87.21%	1+ Hitline	0.655count	87.2%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
07	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+88.41%	1+ Hitline	0.636count	88.4%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
08	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 15.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+84.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.741count	84.7%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
09	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs STL	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.789count	82.3%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
10	Jacob WilsonATH	ATH vs CIN	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+77.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.916count	77.3%selected	3.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
11	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs ATH	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+85.16%	1+ Hitline	0.713count	85.2%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
12	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs TB	P 14.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+85.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.697count	85.7%selected	3.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
13	Tyler SoderstromATH	ATH vs CIN	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+80.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	80.8%selected	3.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs NYY	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.785count	83.0%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+79.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.871count	79.1%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
16	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIA	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+75.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.948count	76.0%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
17	Jeff McNeilATH	ATH vs CIN	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+82.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.79count	82.9%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs ATH	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+86.74%	1+ Hitline	0.685count	86.7%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
19	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs TEX	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
20	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs MIA	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+73.21%	2+ Hitsline	1.015count	73.2%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
21	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs ATH	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+83.84%	1+ Hitline	0.749count	83.8%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
22	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.849count	79.8%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs NYY	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+82.27%	1+ Hitline	0.791count	82.3%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
24	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs MIN	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+87.04%	1+ Hitline	0.676count	87.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
25	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs ATL	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+73.27%	2+ Hitsline	1.013count	73.3%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
26	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.877count	78.9%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
27	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.92count	77.1%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
28	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	32.8%Over prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	+67.23%	2+ Hitsline	1.156count	32.8%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
29	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs MIN	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+71.80%	2+ Hitsline	1.048count	71.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
30	Lawrence ButlerATH	ATH vs CIN	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+81.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.811count	81.5%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
31	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs MIN	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+80.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	80.8%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
32	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs NYM	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.925count	76.9%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
33	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs CLE	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+86.07%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	86.1%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
34	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.943count	76.2%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
35	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.887count	78.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
36	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs CLE	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.4%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+70.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.08count	70.4%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
37	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+85.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.722count	85.4%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
38	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIA	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.3%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+73.68%	1+ Hitline	1.003count	26.3%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
39	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.2%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+75.76%	1+ Hitline	0.954count	24.2%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
40	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.034count	72.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
41	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs CWS	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+73.14%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
42	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs ATH	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	82.5%no-vig	+86.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.692count	86.5%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
43	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs TEX	P 33.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+66.58%	2+ Hitsline	1.168count	66.6%selected	4.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
44	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIA	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+82.08%	1+ Hitline	0.796count	82.1%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
45	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs ATH	P 29.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.083count	70.3%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
46	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs CLE	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.6%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+79.39%	1+ Hitline	0.865count	20.6%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
47	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIA	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+72.74%	2+ Hitsline	1.026count	72.7%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
48	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.6%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.58%	2+ Hitsline	1.148count	67.6%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
49	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs CLE	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+74.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.987count	74.3%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
50	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs WSH	P 35.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	64.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+64.69%	2+ Hitsline	1.217count	64.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
51	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.7%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+78.34%	1+ Hitline	0.891count	21.7%selected	3.77role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
52	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIA	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.3%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.65%	1+ Hitline	1.074count	29.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books