Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-21 · saved artifact ROWS 49 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 2.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.4%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+97.42%	1+ Hitline	0.321count	97.4%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
02	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.19count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs BAL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.225count	98.0%selected	1.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
04	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 2.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+97.51%	1+ Hitline	0.315count	97.5%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
05	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs BAL	P 7.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	92.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+92.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.559count	92.2%selected	2.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
06	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.6%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+87.61%	1+ Hitline	0.66count	87.6%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
07	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs BOS	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+81.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.799count	82.0%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
08	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs PHI	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+86.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.699count	86.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+81.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.822count	81.6%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
10	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs BAL	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+78.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.877count	78.9%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
11	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs SF	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+79.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.867count	79.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
12	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+88.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.641count	88.2%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
13	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs TB	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.53%	1+ Hitline	0.758count	83.5%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
14	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs SF	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+85.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.721count	85.4%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
15	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs PHI	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+84.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.743count	84.6%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
16	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs TB	P 18.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+81.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.816count	81.3%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
17	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs BAL	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.898count	78.5%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
18	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 12.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+87.69%	1+ Hitline	0.658count	87.7%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
19	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs BOS	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.1%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.822count	81.1%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
20	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs NYM	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+89.17%	1+ Hitline	0.613count	89.2%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
21	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+85.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.714count	85.1%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
22	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 27.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+72.55%	2+ Hitsline	1.03count	72.5%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
23	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs TB	P 12.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.1%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+87.10%	1+ Hitline	0.675count	87.1%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
24	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIL	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.1%Over prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+75.85%	1+ Hitline	0.948count	24.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
25	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs PHI	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+84.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.739count	84.2%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
26	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs BOS	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+82.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.788count	82.4%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
27	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs SF	P 31.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.6%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+68.41%	1+ Hitline	1.128count	31.6%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
28	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+86.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.698count	86.3%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
29	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIL	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.6%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+79.36%	1+ Hitline	0.865count	20.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
30	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIL	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.2%Over prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	+78.80%	1+ Hitline	0.879count	21.2%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
31	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs TB	P 9.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.7%Under prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	+90.68%	1+ Hitline	0.565count	90.7%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
32	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+84.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.76count	84.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
33	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs NYM	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.878count	78.9%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
34	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+81.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
35	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIL	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	13.9%Over prob · Palantir	48.8%no-vig	+86.07%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	13.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
36	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+81.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.799count	82.0%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
37	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+78.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.895count	78.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
38	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs BOS	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+76.79%	1+ Hitline	0.924count	76.8%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
39	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs TB	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+75.63%	1+ Hitline	0.953count	75.6%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.9%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+74.08%	1+ Hitline	0.991count	25.9%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
41	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs CLE	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+82.34%	1+ Hitline	0.789count	82.3%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
42	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.2%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+71.79%	1+ Hitline	1.047count	28.2%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
43	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+69.98%	2+ Hitsline	1.09count	70.0%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
44	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs BOS	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	34.9%Over prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+65.06%	2+ Hitsline	1.208count	34.9%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
45	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 31.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.2%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+68.80%	1+ Hitline	1.117count	31.2%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
46	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 14.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	14.3%Over prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+85.69%	1+ Hitline	0.714count	14.3%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
47	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.3%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+79.65%	1+ Hitline	0.858count	20.3%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
48	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs MIL	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.4%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+78.60%	1+ Hitline	0.884count	21.4%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
49	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs SF	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+74.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.982count	74.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books