Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-10 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-02
Palantir
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12423 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.004
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3 |
19.6%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +6.8pp |
P
17.9
F
19.6
V
13.3
|
6.3pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +6.2pp |
P
13.0
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.2pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 7 |
14.5%Fangorn | 8.5%market | +6.0pp |
P
13.0
F
14.5
V
11.1
|
3.4pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6 |
16.6%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +5.7pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
13.0
|
6.4pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 11.2%market | +5.5pp |
P
18.4
F
16.6
V
12.8
|
5.6pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2 |
19.6%Fangorn | 14.2%market | +5.3pp |
P
18.0
F
19.6
V
14.6
|
5.0pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
16.3%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +5.3pp |
P
13.8
F
16.3
V
12.2
|
4.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 9.7%market | +5.3pp |
P
12.9
F
14.9
V
11.4
|
3.5pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 09 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 7 |
14.5%Fangorn | 9.6%market | +4.9pp |
P
12.9
F
14.5
V
10.0
|
4.6pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +4.6pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
11.3
|
4.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
19.6%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +4.5pp |
P
20.9
F
19.6
V
14.1
|
6.8pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +4.4pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
10.4
|
4.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 13 | Lineup pending | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
21.1%Fangorn | 16.7%market | +4.4pp |
P
20.4
F
21.1
V
17.4
|
3.7pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 10.7%market | +3.9pp |
P
12.0
F
14.5
V
12.4
|
2.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
13.7%Fangorn | 9.9%market | +3.8pp |
P
11.0
F
13.7
V
11.4
|
2.8pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 875 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
16.4
F
15.5
V
13.0
|
3.4pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 17 | IN | CWS vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 4 |
15.5%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
14.2
F
15.5
V
10.5
|
5.0pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +3.5pp |
P
17.5
F
16.6
V
13.6
|
3.9pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +3.5pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
12.1
|
7.4pp | 0.990xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +3.4pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
5.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +3.3pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
13.5
|
2.8pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +3.2pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
3.0pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 3 |
13.6%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +3.1pp |
P
17.4
F
13.6
V
11.5
|
5.9pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.8%market | +2.5pp |
P
17.1
F
16.3
V
13.7
|
3.4pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +2.3pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
14.2
|
5.2pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +2.3pp |
P
20.1
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
5.1pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4 |
15.6%Fangorn | 13.4%market | +2.3pp |
P
15.1
F
15.6
V
12.5
|
3.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +2.1pp |
P
14.2
F
16.3
V
15.0
|
2.1pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 29 | IN | CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 6 |
12.8%Fangorn | 10.6%market | +2.1pp |
P
12.4
F
12.8
V
11.1
|
1.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +2.0pp |
P
12.3
F
14.5
V
16.3
|
4.0pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
14.6%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +1.9pp |
P
13.8
F
14.6
V
13.2
|
1.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
20.0
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
4.8pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.8%market | +1.5pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
15.7
|
2.4pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 34 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.6%market | +1.3pp |
P
15.1
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
1.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 15.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
1.7pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 14.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
15.4
F
15.6
V
14.9
|
0.7pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
20.3
F
16.6
V
15.5
|
4.8pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
13.7%Fangorn | 12.9%market | +0.8pp |
P
14.4
F
13.7
V
13.4
|
1.0pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +0.8pp |
P
16.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +0.4pp |
P
17.6
F
16.3
V
13.6
|
4.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2 |
15.6%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.5
F
15.6
V
13.5
|
4.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 42 | Lineup pending | TOR vs SDJp Sears · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -0.9pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
13.7
|
4.3pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 43 | IN | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
18.3
F
16.3
V
17.4
|
2.0pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SDJp Sears · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
13.7
|
5.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -1.9pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
15.0
|
3.5pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 46 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
13.7%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -2.5pp |
P
16.4
F
13.7
V
13.5
|
2.8pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Luis Arraez
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.9pp |
P
9.1
F
13.6
V
12.2
|
4.5pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 7 |
13.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.6pp |
P
9.9
F
13.3
V
10.4
|
3.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
13.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.6pp |
P
8.9
F
13.3
V
14.1
|
5.2pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2 |
13.6%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +4.9pp |
P
10.0
F
13.6
V
11.4
|
3.6pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 1 |
11.0%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
6.8
F
11.0
V
11.3
|
4.5pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.0%market | +2.6pp |
P
19.2
F
16.6
V
12.9
|
6.3pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.9%market | +1.7pp |
P
17.4
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
4.3pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Andy Pages
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 7 |
14.5%Fangorn | 13.4%market | +1.2pp |
P
15.5
F
14.5
V
11.2
|
4.3pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +0.7pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
14.1
|
4.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 56 | IN | DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
3.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -0.4pp |
P
14.1
F
15.6
V
14.6
|
1.5pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
15.5
|
3.2pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -0.7pp |
P
16.9
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
2.3pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -0.8pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.8
|
2.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 61 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
17.0
F
16.3
V
13.4
|
3.6pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
17.5%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -1.2pp |
P
19.3
F
17.5
V
15.2
|
4.0pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 63 | IN | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
17.5
F
16.3
V
17.2
|
1.2pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -1.9pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
14.8
|
4.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -2.6pp |
P
18.2
F
16.6
V
15.2
|
3.0pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
2.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
14.5%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -2.7pp |
P
13.7
F
14.5
V
15.3
|
1.6pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
Lineup pending
Triple
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -2.8pp |
P
16.9
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
2.3pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Willy Adames
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -2.8pp |
P
17.2
F
14.9
V
14.8
|
2.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -3.0pp |
P
16.3
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
2.0pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 71 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1 |
4.8%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -3.2pp |
P
4.7
F
4.8
V
9.2
|
4.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 72 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 2 |
15.6%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -3.3pp |
P
16.2
F
15.6
V
14.0
|
2.1pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -3.3pp |
P
18.4
F
16.3
V
15.3
|
3.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -3.4pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
2.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -3.6pp |
P
15.7
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
2.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 2 |
15.6%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -3.8pp |
P
17.8
F
15.6
V
14.0
|
3.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 77 | Lineup pending Triple | LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -4.1pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.8pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -4.2pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
15.4
|
2.6pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -4.3pp |
P
13.2
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
1.7pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
4.8%Fangorn | 9.2%market | -4.4pp |
P
10.4
F
4.8
V
10.4
|
5.6pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 985 avg 3 books |
| 81 | Lineup pending | SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.3pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
15.2
|
2.6pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 82 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -5.3pp |
P
16.0
F
16.6
V
13.9
|
2.8pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
13.7
|
2.2pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 22.5%market | -6.2pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
3.9pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 24.1%market | -7.5pp |
P
17.3
F
16.6
V
13.9
|
3.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -10.7pp |
P
16.9
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
14.5%Fangorn | 26.3%market | -11.8pp |
P
17.7
F
14.5
V
14.9
|
3.2pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 280 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 29.0%market | -12.7pp |
P
15.8
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
0.7pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 245 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1 |
13.7%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -13.3pp |
P
16.7
F
13.7
V
13.7
|
3.0pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
Data context
776 sample flagsStatus1673roster/transaction rows
Lineups207confirmed starters
Triple2cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.