Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-10 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
16.3%Valinor | 12.5%market | +3.3pp |
P
12.3
F
14.5
V
16.3
|
4.0pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1 |
11.7%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.7pp |
P
13.0
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.2pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 7 |
11.1%Valinor | 8.5%market | +2.3pp |
P
13.0
F
14.5
V
11.1
|
3.4pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6 |
13.0%Valinor | 11.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
13.0
|
6.4pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
12.4%Valinor | 10.7%market | +1.4pp |
P
12.0
F
14.5
V
12.4
|
2.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 9.7%market | +1.4pp |
P
12.9
F
14.9
V
11.4
|
3.5pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 1 |
12.8%Valinor | 11.2%market | +1.2pp |
P
18.4
F
16.6
V
12.8
|
5.6pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
11.4%Valinor | 9.9%market | +1.1pp |
P
11.0
F
13.7
V
11.4
|
2.8pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 875 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 11.7%market | +0.9pp |
P
16.4
F
15.5
V
13.0
|
3.4pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
12.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | +0.8pp |
P
13.8
F
16.3
V
12.2
|
4.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 3 |
11.5%Valinor | 10.5%market | +0.7pp |
P
17.4
F
13.6
V
11.5
|
5.9pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1 |
15.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +0.5pp |
P
16.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 14.8%market | +0.3pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
15.7
|
2.4pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
15.0%Valinor | 14.1%market | +0.2pp |
P
14.2
F
16.3
V
15.0
|
2.1pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 15 | IN | CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 6 |
11.1%Valinor | 10.6%market | +0.1pp |
P
12.4
F
12.8
V
11.1
|
1.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
15.0%Valinor | 14.4%market | +0.1pp |
P
20.1
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
5.1pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.0%market | -0.0pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
13.5
|
2.8pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 18 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3 |
13.3%Valinor | 13.3%market | -0.1pp |
P
17.9
F
19.6
V
13.3
|
6.3pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 5 |
13.6%Valinor | 13.2%market | -0.1pp |
P
17.5
F
16.6
V
13.6
|
3.9pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 20 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 7 |
10.0%Valinor | 9.7%market | -0.1pp |
P
12.9
F
14.5
V
10.0
|
4.6pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 890 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
13.2%Valinor | 13.3%market | -0.1pp |
P
13.8
F
14.6
V
13.2
|
1.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.1%market | -0.1pp |
P
14.4
F
13.7
V
13.4
|
1.0pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 640 avg 3 books |
| 23 | Lineup pending | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
17.4%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
20.4
F
21.1
V
17.4
|
3.7pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 24 | IN | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
17.4%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
18.3
F
16.3
V
17.4
|
2.0pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6 |
13.3%Valinor | 13.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
3.0pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2 |
14.6%Valinor | 14.4%market | -0.4pp |
P
18.0
F
19.6
V
14.6
|
5.0pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
14.9%Valinor | 14.8%market | -0.4pp |
P
15.4
F
15.6
V
14.9
|
0.7pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6 |
10.4%Valinor | 10.6%market | -0.5pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
10.4
|
4.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.6pp |
P
20.0
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
4.8pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 30 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | -0.7pp |
P
15.1
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
1.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5 |
13.7%Valinor | 14.0%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.1
F
16.3
V
13.7
|
3.4pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 13.4%market | -0.8pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
5.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 620 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
11.3%Valinor | 11.7%market | -0.9pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
11.3
|
4.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.5%market | -0.9pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
14.2
|
5.2pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
15.5%Valinor | 16.0%market | -1.0pp |
P
20.3
F
16.6
V
15.5
|
4.8pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4 |
12.5%Valinor | 13.4%market | -1.4pp |
P
15.1
F
15.6
V
12.5
|
3.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 5 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.0
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
1.7pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2 |
12.1%Valinor | 13.2%market | -1.6pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
12.1
|
7.4pp | 0.990xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 15.2%market | -1.7pp |
P
20.9
F
19.6
V
14.1
|
6.8pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 40 | IN | CWS vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 4 |
10.5%Valinor | 11.7%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.2
F
15.5
V
10.5
|
5.0pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 41 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.7pp |
P
16.4
F
13.7
V
13.5
|
2.8pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.8%market | -2.9pp |
P
17.5
F
15.6
V
13.5
|
4.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5 |
13.6%Valinor | 16.2%market | -3.2pp |
P
17.6
F
16.3
V
13.6
|
4.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.4pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
15.0
|
3.5pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 45 | Lineup pending | TOR vs SDJp Sears · slot 2 |
13.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.0pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
13.7
|
4.3pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
14.9%Valinor | 25.8%market | -11.8pp |
P
17.7
F
14.5
V
14.9
|
3.2pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 275 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 26.5%market | -12.2pp |
P
16.9
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1 |
16.5%Valinor | 28.4%market | -12.9pp |
P
15.8
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
0.7pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 240 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 26.5%market | -13.7pp |
P
16.7
F
13.7
V
13.7
|
3.0pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +6.1pp |
P
8.9
F
13.3
V
14.1
|
5.2pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Luis Arraez
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 1 |
12.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
9.1
F
13.6
V
12.2
|
4.5pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 1 |
11.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
6.8
F
11.0
V
11.3
|
4.5pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2 |
11.4%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.4pp |
P
10.0
F
13.6
V
11.4
|
3.6pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 7 |
10.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.4pp |
P
9.9
F
13.3
V
10.4
|
3.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
10.4%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.3pp |
P
10.4
F
4.8
V
10.4
|
5.6pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1005 avg 3 books |
| 56 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1 |
9.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
4.7
F
4.8
V
9.2
|
4.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 57 | IN | KC vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.5%market | -1.0pp |
P
17.5
F
16.3
V
17.2
|
1.2pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.1
F
15.6
V
14.6
|
1.5pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 1 |
15.5%Valinor | 16.7%market | -1.7pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
15.5
|
3.2pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
19.2
F
16.6
V
12.9
|
6.3pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 16.8%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.7
F
14.5
V
15.3
|
1.6pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
14.6%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.4pp |
P
16.9
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
2.3pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4 |
13.1%Valinor | 15.1%market | -2.5pp |
P
17.4
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
4.3pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Andy Pages
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 7 |
11.2%Valinor | 13.4%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.5
F
14.5
V
11.2
|
4.3pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
14.1%Valinor | 16.2%market | -2.7pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
14.1
|
4.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 66 | IN | DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 16.5%market | -2.7pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
3.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Willy Adames
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 4 |
14.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.9pp |
P
17.2
F
14.9
V
14.8
|
2.4pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.3pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.8
|
2.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 18.2%market | -3.6pp |
P
19.3
F
17.5
V
15.2
|
4.0pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 70 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.8pp |
P
17.0
F
16.3
V
13.4
|
3.6pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4 |
14.8%Valinor | 18.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
14.8
|
4.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 18.8%market | -4.2pp |
P
18.2
F
16.6
V
15.2
|
3.0pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.3pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
2.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3 |
13.9%Valinor | 17.7%market | -4.4pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
2.0pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2 |
15.3%Valinor | 19.1%market | -4.5pp |
P
18.4
F
16.3
V
15.3
|
3.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
14.7%Valinor | 18.8%market | -4.7pp |
P
13.2
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
1.7pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SDJp Sears · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 17.9%market | -4.8pp |
P
19.4
F
16.6
V
13.7
|
5.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
Lineup pending
Triple
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
14.6%Valinor | 18.9%market | -5.0pp |
P
16.9
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
2.3pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 79 | Lineup pending | SD vs TORShane Bieber · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 18.4%market | -5.0pp |
P
16.2
F
15.6
V
14.0
|
2.1pp | 0.952xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
14.6%Valinor | 19.1%market | -5.1pp |
P
16.3
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
2.0pp | 1.007xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 81 | Lineup pending Triple | LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4 |
13.9%Valinor | 18.6%market | -5.3pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.8pp | 0.974xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 2 |
15.4%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.6pp |
P
18.0
F
16.6
V
15.4
|
2.6pp | 1.146xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 18.9%market | -5.7pp |
P
17.8
F
15.6
V
14.0
|
3.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 84 | Lineup pending | SF vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.9pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
15.2
|
2.6pp | 0.906xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3 |
14.3%Valinor | 19.7%market | -6.1pp |
P
15.7
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
2.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3 |
13.7%Valinor | 20.3%market | -7.4pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
13.7
|
2.2pp | 0.954xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 3 |
14.6%Valinor | 22.0%market | -8.1pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
14.6
|
3.9pp | 1.059xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 340 avg 3 books |
| 88 | IN | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4 |
13.9%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.4pp |
P
16.0
F
16.6
V
13.9
|
2.8pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
13.9%Valinor | 23.6%market | -10.5pp |
P
17.3
F
16.6
V
13.9
|
3.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 310 avg 3 books |
Data context
776 sample flagsStatus1673roster/transaction rows
Lineups207confirmed starters
Triple2cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.