Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn 2026-07-27 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher Outs

Pitcher Outs · Fangorn.

Starter workload probabilities with leash, traffic, and lane-health context.

Rows
7
Date
2026-07-27
Lane
Fangorn
PITCHER OUTS 2026-07-27 · saved artifact ROWS 7 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Model-market gaps are provisional This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate the gaps. Treat them as early model signals, not established advantages.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.140, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-07-27
Palantir 512 props Brier 0.259 ECE 0.056 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Pitcher Outs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Fangorn does not cover Pitcher Outs yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

This challenger passed its historical validation gate, but its production inference path is not wired yet. No probability is shown until the real model output is written to the daily log.

Methodology reference: