Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor 2026-07-27 Refreshed Jul 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher Outs

Pitcher Outs · Valinor.

Starter workload probabilities with leash, traffic, and lane-health context.

Rows
7
Date
2026-07-27
Lane
Valinor
PITCHER OUTS 2026-07-27 · saved artifact ROWS 7 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Model-market gaps are provisional This market's model lanes don't yet have enough graded results to validate the gaps. Treat them as early model signals, not established advantages.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.140, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-07-27
Palantir 512 props Brier 0.259 ECE 0.056 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Pitcher Outs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Valinor does not cover Pitcher Outs yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Valinor lane for Pitcher Outs is in active development. The current calibration architecture preserves probability shape but does not meet our accuracy benchmark. We're working behind the scenes on a calibration approach that improves accuracy without compromising shape, rather than shipping a worse-calibrated model.

Methodology reference: