Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-05-21 · saved artifact ROWS 53 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 1.5 · 2.5 · 3.5

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 39.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	60.5%Under prob · Palantir	38.4%no-vig	-0.48%	1.3939count	0.3955prob	0.8732proj	0.919context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
02	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	74.2%no-vig	+4.13%	1.6544count	0.4729prob	1.1624proj	0.918context	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
03	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.9%no-vig	+3.92%	1.6561count	0.4866prob	0.8354proj	0.918context	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
04	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 67.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	32.1%Under prob · Palantir	23.4%no-vig	-0.47%	2.9317count	0.6793prob	1.3461proj	1.036context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
05	Nick KurtzATH	ATH vs LAAJosé Soriano	P 46.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	53.8%Under prob · Palantir	55.3%no-vig	-0.31%	2.8654count	0.7033prob	1.2708proj	0.909context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
06	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.9%no-vig	+3.83%	1.6678count	0.4975prob	0.7781proj	1.019context	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
07	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara	P 57.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.4%no-vig	-0.47%	2.137count	0.5743prob	1.1715proj	1.043context	FanDuel -145 avg 1 books
08	Logan O'HoppeLAA	LAA vs ATHLuis Severino	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+3.52%	1.6461count	0.4453prob	0.8677proj	0.923context	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
09	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.43%	1.7166count	0.4833prob	0.9685proj	0.918context	FanDuel 750 avg 1 books
10	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson	P 53.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	46.4%Under prob · Palantir	31.0%no-vig	-0.39%	1.8772count	0.5357prob	1.0687proj	0.943context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
11	Brent RookerATH	ATH vs LAAJosé Soriano	P 37.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	62.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.7%no-vig	-0.55%	2.3008count	0.5989prob	1.139proj	0.909context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
12	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs DETCasey Mize	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.7%no-vig	+2.15%	1.743count	0.4807prob	1.1666proj	0.925context	FanDuel 1100 avg 1 books
13	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara	P 65.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	35.0%Under prob · Palantir	24.0%no-vig	-0.48%	2.534count	0.6505prob	1.2928proj	1.043context	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
14	Jahmai JonesDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 33.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	66.7%Under prob · Palantir	42.9%no-vig	-0.53%	2.1123count	0.5865prob	1.0604proj	0.973context	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
15	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.77%	1.7436count	0.4699prob	0.9549proj	1.036context	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
16	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 58.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.9%Under prob · Palantir	27.9%no-vig	-0.30%	2.1747count	0.581prob	1.1688proj	1.036context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
17	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 33.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	66.7%Under prob · Palantir	42.9%no-vig	-0.54%	2.071count	0.5864prob	1.1526proj	0.919context	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
18	Davis SchneiderTOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.52%	1.7632count	0.4954prob	0.8552proj	1.019context	FanDuel 700 avg 1 books
19	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 65.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	34.8%Under prob · Palantir	20.2%no-vig	-0.44%	2.4788count	0.6519prob	1.4332proj	1.036context	FanDuel -120 avg 1 books
20	Yoán MoncadaLAA	LAA vs ATHLuis Severino	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.5%no-vig	+3.02%	1.6877count	0.4795prob	0.8954proj	0.923context	FanDuel 285 avg 1 books
21	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.41%	1.7662count	0.4993prob	1.0133proj	0.973context	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
22	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara	P 69.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	30.4%Under prob · Palantir	22.4%no-vig	-0.43%	2.9066count	0.6959prob	1.3811proj	1.043context	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
23	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 46.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	53.7%Under prob · Palantir	54.9%no-vig	-0.20%	2.7915count	0.6757prob	1.3911proj	1.036context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
24	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	35.1%Under prob · Palantir	22.9%no-vig	-0.41%	2.6042count	0.6493prob	1.3576proj	1.019context	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books
25	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 36.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	64.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.2%no-vig	-0.60%	2.258count	0.6017prob	1.0924proj	0.973context	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
26	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara	P 61.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	38.1%Under prob · Palantir	24.3%no-vig	-0.46%	2.3741count	0.6189prob	1.2921proj	1.043context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
27	Bo NaylorCLE	CLE vs DETCasey Mize	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.56%	1.7253count	0.5007prob	0.8418proj	0.925context	FanDuel 275 avg 1 books
28	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 59.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	41.0%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	-0.63%	2.2807count	0.5897prob	1.1388proj	0.918context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
29	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.9%no-vig	+2.50%	1.7079count	0.4849prob	0.9954proj	0.916context	FanDuel 275 avg 1 books
30	Matt VierlingDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 45.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	54.7%Under prob · Palantir	36.3%no-vig	-0.26%	1.5751count	0.4533prob	0.9223proj	0.973context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
31	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.7%no-vig	+2.18%	1.7233count	0.4829prob	0.8542proj	1.036context	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
32	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 68.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	31.4%Under prob · Palantir	19.2%no-vig	-0.30%	2.7848count	0.6858prob	1.5007proj	1.019context	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
33	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.4%no-vig	+1.81%	1.7461count	0.4938prob	1.0482proj	1.019context	FanDuel 265 avg 1 books
34	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara	P 56.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	43.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.6%no-vig	-0.48%	2.0802count	0.5671prob	1.0306proj	1.043context	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
35	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.1%no-vig	+1.44%	1.7624count	0.4895prob	1.0263proj	0.973context	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
36	Connor NorbyMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 40.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	59.7%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	-0.69%	1.4067count	0.4027prob	0.7912proj	0.919context	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
37	Tyler SoderstromATH	ATH vs LAAJosé Soriano	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 2.5	28.5%Over prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.33%	1.8506count	0.5115prob	0.9902proj	0.909context	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
38	James WoodWSH	WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson	P 57.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.5%Under prob · Palantir	30.1%no-vig	-0.30%	2.1273count	0.5749prob	1.098proj	0.943context	FanDuel 135 avg 1 books
39	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs ATHLuis Severino	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 2.5	28.2%Over prob · Palantir	28.7%no-vig	-0.08%	1.8391count	0.5048prob	0.8583proj	0.923context	FanDuel 245 avg 1 books
40	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs CLEJoey Cantillo	P 59.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.9%Under prob · Palantir	29.1%no-vig	-0.48%	2.2087count	0.5912prob	1.1205proj	0.973context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
41	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson	P 44.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	56.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.9%no-vig	-0.60%	1.5831count	0.4401prob	0.9658proj	0.943context	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
42	Mark VientosNYM	NYM vs WSHCade Cavalli	P 55.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	44.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.6%no-vig	-0.56%	2.0711count	0.5577prob	1.0191proj	1.036context	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
43	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson	P 42.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	57.6%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	-0.79%	1.4736count	0.4243prob	0.8046proj	0.943context	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
44	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 42.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	58.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.6%no-vig	-0.64%	1.4708count	0.4198prob	1.1084proj	0.919context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
45	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 59.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.3%Under prob · Palantir	30.1%no-vig	-0.44%	2.2766count	0.597prob	1.0936proj	0.918context	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
46	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs STLDustin May	P 59.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	40.9%Under prob · Palantir	27.1%no-vig	-0.41%	2.1744count	0.5906prob	1.1772proj	0.918context	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
47	Jacob WilsonATH	ATH vs LAAJosé Soriano	P 41.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	59.0%Under prob · Palantir	59.9%no-vig	-0.69%	1.4861count	0.4098prob	0.99proj	0.909context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
48	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs DETCasey Mize	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	33.2%no-vig	-0.51%	2.1052count	0.5756prob	1.0039proj	0.925context	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
49	Daniel SchneemannCLE	CLE vs DETCasey Mize	P 46.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	53.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.4%no-vig	-0.22%	1.5812count	0.462prob	0.8342proj	0.925context	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
50	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	67.2%Under prob · Palantir	42.9%no-vig	-0.69%	1.1954count	0.3278prob	0.7722proj	0.919context	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
51	Heriberto HernándezMIA	MIA vs ATLSpencer Strider	P 36.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	63.9%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	-0.91%	1.2468count	0.3613prob	0.7048proj	0.919context	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
52	Zach NetoLAA	LAA vs ATHLuis Severino	P 55.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	44.9%Under prob · Palantir	46.2%no-vig	-0.48%	2.0336count	0.5508prob	1.0592proj	0.923context	FanDuel -125 avg 1 books
53	Anthony SantanderTOR	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5	69.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.6%no-vig	-1.09%	0.9105count	0.3016prob	0.4202proj	1.019context	DraftKings 220 avg 1 books