Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-10-15 · saved artifact ROWS 12 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5

Lane Health 2026-10-15

Palantir 10880 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.042 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 66.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.8%Under prob · Palantir	17.7%no-vig	-1.07%	2.6265count	0.6551prob	1.4088proj	1.065context	BetMGM -465 avg 1 books
02	Yandy DíazTB	TB vs CLEGavin Williams	P 66.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.9%Under prob · Palantir	18.0%no-vig	-0.98%	2.3734count	0.6205prob	1.3788proj	0.998context	BetMGM -455 avg 1 books
03	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 64.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.3%Under prob · Palantir	19.6%no-vig	-1.06%	2.1659count	0.5808prob	1.3446proj	1.065context	BetMGM -410 avg 1 books
04	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 63.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.3%Under prob · Palantir	20.8%no-vig	-1.01%	2.287count	0.6072prob	1.2917proj	1.065context	BetMGM -380 avg 1 books
05	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs CLEGavin Williams	P 63.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.4%Under prob · Palantir	21.1%no-vig	-0.95%	1.7341count	0.5022prob	1.2766proj	0.998context	BetMGM -375 avg 1 books
06	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs CLEGavin Williams	P 62.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.4%Under prob · Palantir	22.2%no-vig	-1.03%	2.1925count	0.5919prob	1.2192proj	0.998context	BetMGM -350 avg 1 books
07	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs CLEGavin Williams	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	26.7%no-vig	-1.02%	2.3148count	0.5998prob	1.0947proj	0.998context	BetMGM -275 avg 1 books
08	Luis RengifoMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 57.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.5%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-1.02%	1.6935count	0.4768prob	1.0263proj	1.065context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
09	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs CLEGavin Williams	P 54.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	45.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-1.14%	1.8676count	0.5208prob	0.9569proj	0.998context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
10	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 56.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	44.0%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	-0.76%	1.4629count	0.4115prob	0.9835proj	1.065context	BetMGM -220 avg 1 books
11	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 50.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	49.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	-0.96%	1.6444count	0.4682prob	0.8168proj	1.065context	BetMGM -160 avg 1 books
12	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs LADTyler Glasnow	P 36.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	63.6%Under prob · Palantir	56.5%no-vig	-1.08%	0.8963count	0.2869prob	0.4744proj	1.065context	BetMGM 130 avg 1 books