The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 512 PA

Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 387 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Isolated power -1.3zPull rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.8z
02 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA 0.66 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 588 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateGround-ball rate Oppo rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zBat speed -1.2z
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.64 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Isolated power -1.4zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length -1.0z
05 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 621 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zWalk rate -1.4z
06 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 598 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactSprint speedIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.9zHard-hit rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0z
07 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.59 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateOppo rate In-zone contact -1.7zPull rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.2z
08 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 550 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.7zIsolated power -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z
09 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 619 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z
10 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 556 PA 0.56 Bat speedOppo rateWhiff rate Pull rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.1z
11 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactBat speedStrikeout rate Chase rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3z
12 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 618 PA 0.53 Chase rateIn-zone contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.