The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Gorman, Nolan in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 242 PA

Ranked comps for Gorman, Nolan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 233 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 287 PA 0.61 Oppo rateChase rateBarrel rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 338 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 305 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R · 273 PA 0.56 Sprint speedIsolated powerAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 338 PA 0.54 Chase rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Oppo rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 261 PA 0.52 Pull rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 413 PA 0.49 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityChase rate Sprint speed +2.0zIn-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.47 Chase rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.9zBarrel rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.45 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.4zIn-zone contact +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 425 PA 0.45 Oppo rateMax exit velocitySwing length Isolated power +2.0zWhiff rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 283 PA 0.45 Chase rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.9zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.